Swansea sit 2nd in the Championship on 14 points from 7 matches, having scored 11 and conceded 5. The model rates their attack at 0.76× the league average and their defence at 1.31× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently beating Burnley 3-1 at home. That is 2.00 points a match, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.71 per game across 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. That is level on points with West Ham at the top, in a table of 24, with only goal difference between them. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 10th-best attack and the 9th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Lincoln in the Championship on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 29%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Southampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 10 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Millwall | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
Swansea sit 2 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W3-1Burnley12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Southampton8 September 2026
- D0-0Wrexham5 September 2026
- W2-0Watford1 September 2026
- W3-0away to Derby29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Swansea vs Lincoln
Swansea travel to Lincoln at LNER stadium, Lincoln on 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 29% Swansea, 29% draw and 42% Lincoln, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.13 expected goals for Swansea against 1.56. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Full preview and model analysis for Swansea vs Lincoln
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- A. Idah3 goals1 assists
League goals this season.