Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Trabzonspor 0-1 SC Freiburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Trabzonspor, 27% draw, 40% SC Freiburg — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
SC Freiburg at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 24André OnanaG
- 20Wagner PinaD
- 27Chibuike NwaiwuD
- 39Cenk ÖzkaçarD
- 19Mustafa EskihellaçD
- 3Batista MendyM
- 6FabinhoM
- 7Ernest MuçiM
- 10Mohamed SalahF
- 30Paul OnuachuF
- 70Noah SavioloF
- 11Ozan TufanM
- 8Benjamin BouchouariM
- 1Ahmet Doğan YıldırımG
- 96Erol Can ÇolakG
- 4Samet AkaydınD
- 15Stefan SavićD
- 81Mustafa Kuzey AkcayD
- 57Melih KabasakalM
- 90Oğuzhan ErtemM
- 1Mio BackhausG
- 17Lukas KüblerD
- 28Matthias GinterD
- 3Philipp LienhartD
- 33Jordy MakengoD
- 22Cyriaque IriéM
- 16Yannick EngelhardtM
- 8Maximilian EggesteinM
- 32Vincenzo GrifoM
- 42Keisuke GotoF
- 31Igor MatanovićF
- 7Derry ScherhantF
- 14Yuito SuzukiM
- 19Jan-Niklas BesteM
- 29Philipp TreuD
- 24Jannik HuthG
- 5Anthony JungD
- 27Berkay YılmazD
- 30Christian GünterD
- 37Maximilian RosenfelderD
Form going into Trabzonspor vs SC Freiburg
Trabzonspor
UEFA Europa Conference League
- W2-0Heart of Midlothian22 October 2026
- W4-2away to KuPS15 October 2026
SC Freiburg
UEFA Europa Conference League
- L0-3away to Monaco22 October 2026
- W3-2FK Jablonec15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 14 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Trabzonspor and SC Freiburg
Trabzonspor
GoalsAssists
- Franculino Djú52
SC Freiburg
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SC Freiburg won 1–0 at Trabzonspor. The model had made a win for SC Freiburg its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: L. Kubler 14' for SC Freiburg. On expected goals it finished 1.67–0.99.
How the call on Trabzonspor v SC Freiburg has moved
First published on 23 Oct at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 33% / 27% / 40%: the biggest move is Trabzonspor's chance of winning, down 9 points.
- Trabzonspor win33%▼ −9
- Draw27%=
- SC Freiburg win40%▲ +9
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.