5 November 2026, 20:00 UTC

Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova
Referee: Donald Robertson, Scotland
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% Universitatea Craiova, 25% draw, 17% Egnatia Rrogozhinë — fair odds of 1.72, 4.00 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Universitatea Craiova at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Universitatea Craiova99%Draw1%Egnatia Rrogozhinë0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Cicaldau
24'
⚽N. Bancuassist: C. Mora
32'
N. Stevanovic
35'
61'
🔁N. Ajetovikjout: Z. Aliyev
61'
🔁G. Jaimeout: G. Smajli
61'
🔁K. Loukiliout: L. Beqja
🔁A. Al Hamlawiout: S. Elisor
64'
🔁S. Baiaramout: Teles
65'
72'
🔁D. Adjessaout: J. Montenegro
A. Cicaldau
74'
🔁A. Cicaldauout: D. Matei
76'
79'
E. Bitri
S. Elisor
81'
84'
E. Bitri
84'
E. Bitri
🔁N. Stevanovicout: A. Rus
85'
86'
🔁A. Albaneseout: I. Diabate
D. Matei
90'

Match stats — Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

54%Possession46%
19Shots9
9On target4
5Corners6
2.27xG0.43

Goals against chances

Universitatea Craiova2 from 2.27 xGabout what the chances were worth
Egnatia Rrogozhinë0 from 0.43 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
  • 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
  • 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
  • 24Nikola StevanovićD
  • 6Vladimir ScreciuD
  • 17Carlos MoraM
  • 16João LameiraM
  • 8Tudor BăluțăM
  • 11Nicușor BancuM
  • 20Alexandru CicâldăuF
  • 9Assad Al-HamlawiF
  • 10Ștefan BaiaramF
Substitutes
  • 23Samuel TelesM
  • 22Simon ElisorF
  • 1Alexandru MaximG
  • 90Răzvan SavaG
  • 28Adrian RusD
  • 31Ronaldo WebsterD
  • 29Luca BăsceanuM
  • 4Alexandru CrețuM
  • 7Steven NsimbaF
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-1-4-2
  • 98Mario DajsinaniG
  • 6Albano AleksiD
  • 33Eneo BitriD
  • 24Numan AjetovikjD
  • 17Altin KryeziuM
  • 22Guillem JaimeM
  • 20Karim LoukiliM
  • 7Fernando MedeirosM
  • 29Andrey YagoM
  • 2Daniel AdjessaF
  • 10Alessandro AlbaneseF
Substitutes
  • 4Zamiq AliyevD
  • 55Geralb SmajliD
  • 80Ledio BeqjaM
  • 1Levan TandilashviliG
  • 12Bruno PujaG
  • 13Alessandro KacbufiD
  • 16Edison NdrecaD
  • 8Ibrahim DiabatéM
  • 99Jurguens MontenegroF

Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Universitatea Craiova

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • W3-1away to Inter Club d'Escaldes22 October 2026
  • D1-1Getafe15 October 2026

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

UEFA Europa Conference League

  • D1-1away to Aarhus22 October 2026
  • D1-1FC Midtjylland15 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Universitatea Craiova321062+47
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë302124-22

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Universitatea Craiova beat Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2–0. The model had made a win for Universitatea Craiova its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Cicaldau 24' for Universitatea Craiova, N. Bancu 32' for Universitatea Craiova. Sent off: E. Bitri (Egnatia Rrogozhinë) 84'. On expected goals it finished 2.27–0.43.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.