17 October 2026, 07:30 UTC

Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 K League 1 prediction & result

Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan
Referee: Dae-Yong Kim, South Korea
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2-1 Bucheon FC 1995.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Ulsan Hyundai FC, 26% draw, 28% Bucheon FC 1995 — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ulsan Hyundai FC at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ulsan Hyundai FC97%Draw3%Bucheon FC 19950%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
⚽Park Jeong-in
45+8'
Thiago Nascimento dos Santos
Cho Hyun-Taek
45+8'
🔁Lee Gyu-sungout: Erick Farias
45'
48'
Seung-bin Kim
53'
Kazuki Takahashi
⚽Lee Jin-Hyunassist: Lee Dong-gyeong
54'
60'
Seung-bin Kim
65'
🔁Kim Min-Junout: Jefferson Fernando Isidio
65'
🔁Park Jeong-inout: Kim Sang-jun
Jung Seung-Hyun
77'
77'
🔁Jo Seong-junout: Lee Jae-Won
77'
🔁Thiago Nascimento dos Santosout: An Tae-hyun
⚽Yago Cariello Ribeiro
82'
🔁Darijan Bojanićout: Yong-Woo Park
87'
🔁Lee Jin-Hyunout: Kang Sang-Woo
87'
89'
🔁Kazuki Takahashiout: Gustavo
🔁Choi Seok-hyeonout: Yoon Jong-Gyu
90+2'
🔁Kang Sang-Wooout: Jang Si-young
90+8'

Match stats — Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995

62%Possession38%
10Shots4
4On target3
8Corners1

Line-ups

Ulsan Hyundai FC 3-4-3
  • 21Jo Hyeon-WooG
  • 15Jung Seung-HyunD
  • 55T. Oude KotteD
  • 19Kim Young-GwonD
  • 96Choi Seok-HyunM
  • 24Lee Gyu-SungM
  • 6D. BojanićM
  • 26Cho Hyun-TaekM
  • 10Lee Dong-GyeongF
  • 99Yago CarielloF
  • 14Lee Jin-HyunF
Substitutes
  • 72Back In-WooM
  • 11Erick FariasF
  • 33Jang Si-YoungF
  • 17Kang Sang-WooD
  • 8Lee Hui-GyunM
  • 38Park Yong-WooM
  • 13Ryu Seong-MinG
  • 66M. TrojakD
  • 2Yoon Jong-GyuD
Coach: Kim Hyun-Seok
Bucheon FC 1995 3-4-3
  • 1Kim Hyung-GeunG
  • 6Jeong Ho-JinD
  • 29Baek Dong-GyuD
  • 20Hong Sung-WookD
  • 7ThiaguinhoM
  • 4S. Ye-GeonM
  • 23K. TakahashiM
  • 83Jo Seong-JoonM
  • 13Kim Min-JunF
  • 9Park Jeong-InF
  • 71Kim Seung-BinF
Substitutes
  • 11Jefferson GalegoF
  • 99Gustavo NescauF
  • 24Kim Dong-HyunM
  • 14Kim Jong-WooM
  • 16Kim Sang-JunM
  • 93J. LeeD
  • 31Lee Sang-HyeonG
  • 25Bong-Hun YeoM
  • 26An Tae-HyunD
Coach: Lee Young-Min

Form going into Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995

Ulsan Hyundai FC

K League 1

  • L3-4away to Gwangju FC11 October 2026

Bucheon FC 1995

K League 1

  • L0-2away to Gangwon FC9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Ulsan Hyundai FC35176125649+757
11Bucheon FC 199535712163551-1633

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995

  • 10 May 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–0 Bucheon FC 1995K League 1
  • 15 March 2026Bucheon FC 1995 1–2 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
  • 29 June 2022Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–1 Bucheon FC 1995FA Cup

Leading scorers: Ulsan Hyundai FC and Bucheon FC 1995

Ulsan Hyundai FC

GoalsAssists

  • Yago Cariello131
  • Lee Dong-Gyeong1010

Bucheon FC 1995

GoalsAssists

  • Jefferson Galego51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ulsan Hyundai FC beat Bucheon FC 1995 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ulsan Hyundai FC at 46%. The goals: Park Jeong-in 15' for Bucheon FC 1995, Lee Jin-Hyun 54' for Ulsan Hyundai FC, Yago Cariello Ribeiro 82' for Ulsan Hyundai FC. Sent off: Seung-bin Kim (Bucheon FC 1995) 60'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ulsan Hyundai FC a 90.1% chance to finish in the top four: 100.0% after a win, 89.1% after a draw, 73.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 100.0%, 9.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our K League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Ulsan Hyundai FC v Bucheon FC 1995 has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 43% / 28% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 46% / 26% / 28%: the biggest move is Ulsan Hyundai FC's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Ulsan Hyundai FC win46%▲ +3
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Bucheon FC 1995 win28%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.