25 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos Super League 1 prediction & result

Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos
Referee: Konstantinos Tsetsilas
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Volos NFC 0-1 Panathinaikos.

Before kick-off the model made it 14% Volos NFC, 22% draw, 64% Panathinaikos — fair odds of 7.14, 4.55 and 1.56.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Panathinaikos at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Volos NFC0%Draw2%Panathinaikos98%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Eleftherios Tasiouras
15'
Matías Nahuel González
26'
🔁Matías Nahuel Gonzálezout: Francesc Regis
45'
🔁Eleftherios Tasiourasout: Stefanos Katsikas
45'
46'
⚽Cyriel Dessersassist: Andrews Tetteh
Hamza Mendyl
51'
🔁Lazaros Lamprouout: Rémy Cabella
63'
🔁Hamza Mendylout: Ronaël Pierre-Gabriel
63'
68'
🔁Levi Garcíaout: Vicente Taborda
68'
🔁Andrews Tettehout: Elmin Rastoder
🔁Quentin Lecoeucheout: Giorgos Charalampoglou
74'
79'
🔁Anass Salah-Eddineout: Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
Maximiliano Comba
84'
86'
🔁Santino Andinoout: Imrân Louza
89'
Elmin Rastoder

Match stats — Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos

31%Possession69%
3Shots23
0On target6
1Corners11
0.18xG2.08

Goals against chances

Volos NFC0 from 0.18 xGabout what the chances were worth
Panathinaikos1 from 2.08 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Volos NFC 5-4-1
  • 1M. SiampanisG
  • 72E. TasiourasD
  • 99D. AgyakwaD
  • 4G. KargasD
  • 13Q. LecoeucheD
  • 37H. MendylD
  • 21M. GonzálezM
  • 8M. CombaM
  • 27D. BurnićM
  • 7L. LamprouM
  • 9Jan HurtadoF
Substitutes
  • 49G. CharalampoglouF
  • 5R. CabellaM
  • 10JocaM
  • 17V. GrosdisM
  • 28S. KatsikasD
  • 55A. KoşelevG
  • 24K. LykourinosD
  • 82Athanasios Papathanasiou GerofokoasG
  • 18R. Pierre-GabrielD
Coach: K. Bratsos
Panathinaikos 4-2-3-1
  • 1Iñaki PeñaG
  • 2D. CalabriaD
  • 6S. de VrijD
  • 55R. van DrongelenD
  • 5A. Salah-EddineD
  • 42K. KangwaM
  • 22E. CamaraM
  • 99L. GarcíaM
  • 7A. TettehM
  • 10Santino AndinoM
  • 9C. DessersF
Substitutes
  • 20V. TabordaF
  • 74E. RastoderF
  • 28F. PellistriM
  • 14E. Palmer-BrownD
  • 26I. LouzaM
  • 77G. KiriakopoulosD
  • 70K. KotsarisG
  • 18S. KontourisM
  • 8Adriano JagušićM
Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Form going into Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos

Volos NFC

Super League 1

  • D0-0away to Levadiakos17 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Aris Thessalonikis11 October 2026

Panathinaikos

Super League 1

  • W5-1Asteras Tripolis18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Olympiakos Piraeus11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Volos NFC10037719-120
1Panathinaikos10901225+1727

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos

  • 14 December 2025Panathinaikos 2–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 1 November 2025Volos NFC 1–0 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
  • 16 February 2025Panathinaikos 2–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
  • 3 November 2024Volos NFC 0–1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
  • 20 December 2023Volos NFC 0–3 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
  • 26 August 2023Panathinaikos 3–0 Volos NFCSuper League 1

Leading scorers: Volos NFC and Panathinaikos

Volos NFC

No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Panathinaikos

GoalsAssists

  • A. Tetteh51
  • C. Dessers40
  • V. Taborda31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Panathinaikos won 1–0 at Volos NFC. The model had made a win for Panathinaikos its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Cyriel Dessers 46' for Panathinaikos. On expected goals it finished 0.18–2.08.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Volos NFC a 79.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 69.0% after a win, 76.8% after a draw, 82.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 82.0%, 2.9 points higher than before the match.

For Panathinaikos the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 34.9% going in: 37.6% after a win, 27.8% after a draw, 24.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 37.6%, 2.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Volos NFC v Panathinaikos has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 13% / 21% / 66% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 14% / 22% / 64%: the biggest move is Panathinaikos's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Volos NFC win14%▲ +1
  2. Draw22%▲ +1
  3. Panathinaikos win64%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.