West Brom vs Blackburn Championship prediction & result
Final score: West Brom 3-2 Blackburn.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% West Brom, 32% draw, 28% Blackburn — fair odds of 2.50, 3.13 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
West Brom at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — West Brom vs Blackburn
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. O’LearyG
- 18B. PereiraD
- 2C. MephamD
- 6G. CampbellD
- 4C. StylesD
- 15Tobias Christopher CollyerM
- 21I. PriceM
- 8J. MolumbyM
- 20R. NzingoulaM
- 11J. MorganM
- 9B. StewartF
- 23T. BanyF
- 17O. DiakitéM
- 19A. HeggebøF
- 13M. IngramG
- 7F. MyhreM
- 3N. PhillipsD
- 22C. TownsendD
- 26K. TundeF
- 29Harry WhitwellM
- 22B. TóthG
- 2R. AlebiosuD
- 6Tom AtchesonD
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 3H. PickeringD
- 8Sam MorsyM
- 31Kristi MontgomeryM
- 25R. MorishitaM
- 10T. CantwellM
- 21O. AfolayanM
- 9A. GuðjohnsenF
- 11J. FevrierF
- 30J. GarrettM
- 29M. JørgensenF
- 7A. KargboF
- 1A. PearsG
- 17H. CarterD
- 14D. De NeveM
- 27Gady BeyukuD
- 24M. BaradjiM
Form going into West Brom vs Blackburn
West Brom
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Wrexham13 October 2026
- L0-1Birmingham10 October 2026
- L0-1away to Wolves20 September 2026
- D1-1QPR12 September 2026
- W1-0away to Derby9 September 2026
Blackburn
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Bristol City13 October 2026
- W2-1Cardiff10 October 2026
- D2-2away to Portsmouth19 September 2026
- W3-1Millwall12 September 2026
- L1-2Sheffield Utd8 September 2026
What these results say
- West Brom conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for West Brom had two goals or fewer.
- Blackburn scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Blackburn conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Blackburn had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: West Brom vs Blackburn
- 6 April 2026Blackburn 0–0 West BromChampionship
- 9 August 2025West Brom 1–0 BlackburnChampionship
- 12 February 2025West Brom 0–2 BlackburnChampionship
- 23 October 2024Blackburn 0–0 West BromChampionship
- 13 January 2024West Brom 4–1 BlackburnChampionship
- 5 August 2023Blackburn 2–1 West BromChampionship
Leading scorers: West Brom and Blackburn
West Brom
GoalsAssists
- I. Price63
- J. Morgan54
Blackburn
GoalsAssists
- A. Guðjohnsen101
- O. Afolayan52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
West Brom beat Blackburn 3–2. The model had made a win for West Brom its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Andri Guðjohnsen 6' for Blackburn, Andri Guðjohnsen 12' for Blackburn, Barney Stewart 19' for West Brom, Isaac Price (penalty) 72' for West Brom, Felix Horn Myhre 89' for West Brom. On expected goals it finished 3.72–0.84.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave West Brom a 7.5% chance to finish in the top four: 9.2% after a win, 7.1% after a draw, 4.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.2%, 1.7 points higher than before the match.
For Blackburn the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 5.9% going in: 7.5% after a win, 5.7% after a draw, 4.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 4.3%, 1.6 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Championship season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.