19 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Orlen Stadion
Referee: Daniel Stefanski
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Wisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak Radom.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Wisla Plock, 28% draw, 27% Radomiak Radom — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Wisla Plock at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wisla Plock97%Draw3%Radomiak Radom0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Jurica Pršir
15'
30'
Steve Kingue
🔁Łukasz Sekulskiout: Deni Jurić
59'
62'
🔁Roberto Oliveira Alvesout: Ibrahima Camará
62'
🔁Lucas Lima Linharesout: Conrado
62'
🔁Guilherme Luizout: Bi Irié Fernand Gouré
Žan Rogelj
63'
68'
🔁Ronaldo Lumungoout: Che Nunnely
🔁Jurica Prširout: Olaf Kobacki
70'
🔁Samuel Akereout: Fabian Hiszpański
70'
🔁Olaf Kobackiout: Kyriakos Savvidis
83'
87'
🔁Rafał Wolskiout: Romário Baró

Match stats — Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom

46%Possession54%
5Shots16
1On target1
2Corners6
0.54xG1.18

Goals against chances

Wisla Plock1 from 0.54 xGabout what the chances were worth
Radomiak Radom0 from 1.18 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Wisla Plock 3-4-3
  • 12R. LeszczyńskiG
  • 4M. Haglind-SangréD
  • 35M. KamińskiD
  • 34Afonso SilvaD
  • 21Ž. RogeljM
  • 18J. PrširM
  • 5Sidnei TavaresM
  • 19D. GallapeniM
  • 57S. AkereF
  • 20Ł. SekulskiF
  • 23P. KunF
Substitutes
  • 41M. WięckowskiD
  • 16F. HiszpańskiM
  • 10S. HamulićF
  • 26J. BurekG
  • 9D. JurićF
  • 7O. KobackiM
  • 91G. KuchkoM
  • 44P. MisiakD
  • 6K. PomorskiM
Coach: A. Majewski
Radomiak Radom 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. MajchrowiczG
  • 24Z. OuattaraD
  • 14S. KingueD
  • 72F. KoperskiD
  • 13J. GrzesikD
  • 10R. AlvesM
  • 77C. DonisM
  • 90Ronaldo AfonsoM
  • 27R. WolskiM
  • 82LuquinhasM
  • 80Guilherme LuizF
Substitutes
  • 97ConradoD
  • 8I. CamaráM
  • 18ManuF
  • 26Adrián DiéguezD
  • 11F. GouréF
  • 99B. GradeckiG
  • 7C. NunnelyF
  • 28Romário BaróM
  • 3K. SzcześniakD
Coach: John Carver

Form going into Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom

Wisla Plock

Ekstraklasa

  • L0-3away to Wieczysta Kraków9 October 2026

Radomiak Radom

Ekstraklasa

  • L2-3Motor Lublin12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Wisla Plock134361421-715
14Radomiak Radom144281729-1214

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wisla Plock vs Radomiak Radom

  • 26 April 2026Wisla Plock 0–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • 27 October 2025Radomiak Radom 1–1 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • 22 January 2025Radomiak Radom 0–4 Wisla PlockFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 November 2023Wisla Plock 1–0 Radomiak RadomFriendlies Clubs
  • 2 April 2023Wisla Plock 1–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
  • 10 September 2022Radomiak Radom 2–0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Wisla Plock and Radomiak Radom

Wisla Plock

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Radomiak Radom

GoalsAssists

  • J. Grzesik53

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Wisla Plock beat Radomiak Radom 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Wisla Plock at 45%. The goal: Jurica Pršir 15' for Wisla Plock. On expected goals it finished 0.54–1.18.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Wisla Plock a 30.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 24.1% after a win, 33.3% after a draw, 37.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.1%, 6.2 points lower than before the match.

For Radomiak Radom the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 63.6% going in: 54.9% after a win, 63.2% after a draw, 69.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 69.2%, 5.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ekstraklasa season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.