14 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Wolves vs Blackburn Championship prediction & result

Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Wolves 2-2 Blackburn.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Wolves, 22% draw, 25% Blackburn — fair odds of 1.89, 4.55 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Wolves at 53% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wolves0%Draw6%Blackburn94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Marshall Munetsiassist: Fer López
18'
27'
⚽Sean McLoughlinassist: Ryoya Morishita
34'
Harry Pickering
35'
Todd Cantwell
45'
Adam Forshaw
48'
⚽Andri Guðjohnsenassist: Oladapo Afolayan
Mateus Mané
52'
55'
🔁Adam Forshawout: Sam Morsy
🔁Mateus Manéout: Raúl Jiménez
60'
🔁Kieran Trippierout: Jackson Tchatchoua
67'
🔁Rodrigo Gomesout: Tommy Doyle
67'
68'
🔁Todd Cantwellout: Yuki Ohashi
68'
🔁Oladapo Afolayanout: Jayden Fevrier
🔁David Møller Wolfeout: Tawanda Chirewa
79'
🔁Andréout: Pedro Lima
79'
79'
🔁Ryoya Morishitaout: Yuri Ribeiro
79'
🔁Andri Guðjohnsenout: Jake Garrett
⚽Raúl Jiménez (pen)
90+3'

Match stats — Wolves vs Blackburn

55%Possession45%
18Shots10
3On target5
5Corners5
2.04xG0.82

Goals against chances

Wolves2 from 2.04 xGabout what the chances were worth
Blackburn2 from 0.82 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Wolves
  • 25Daniel BentleyG
  • 2Kieran TrippierD
  • 15Yerson MosqueraD
  • 24Toti GomesD
  • 6David Møller WolfeD
  • 28Fer LópezM
  • 7AndréM
  • 5Marshall MunetsiM
  • 21Rodrigo GomesF
  • 10Adam ArmstrongF
  • 36Mateus ManéF
Substitutes
  • 9Raúl JiménezF
  • 20Tommy DoyleM
  • 38Jackson TchatchouaD
  • 17Pedro LimaD
  • 23Tawanda ChirewaF
  • 1José SáG
  • 4Santiago BuenoD
  • 34Nasser DjigaD
  • 74Tom EdozieF
Coach: Cesar Peixoto
Blackburn
  • 22Balázs TóthG
  • 2Ryan AlebiosuD
  • 6Tom AtchesonD
  • 15Sean McLoughlinD
  • 3Harry PickeringD
  • 31Kristi MontgomeryM
  • 28Adam ForshawM
  • 25Ryoya MorishitaM
  • 10Todd CantwellM
  • 21Oladapo AfolayanM
  • 9Andri GuðjohnsenF
Substitutes
  • 8Sam MorsyM
  • 11Jayden FevrierF
  • 23Yuki OhashiF
  • 4Yuri RibeiroD
  • 30Jake GarrettM
  • 1Aynsley PearsG
  • 17Hayden CarterD
  • 5Sidnei TavaresM
  • 18Axel HenrikssonM
Coach: Tony Mowbray

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Wolves63211410+411
16Blackburn7223101008

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wolves vs Blackburn

  • 14 August 2026Wolves 2–2 BlackburnChampionship
  • 9 February 2025Blackburn 0–2 WolvesFA Cup
  • 22 April 2017Wolves 0–0 BlackburnChampionship
  • 29 October 2016Blackburn 1–1 WolvesChampionship
  • 9 April 2016Wolves 0–0 BlackburnChampionship
  • 8 August 2015Blackburn 1–2 WolvesChampionship

Leading scorers: Wolves and Blackburn

Wolves

  • Fer López3 goals2 assists
  • R. Jiménez3 goals1 assists

Blackburn

  • A. Guðjohnsen3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.