Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Železničar Pančevo 1-0 FK Partizan.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Železničar Pančevo, 24% draw, 28% FK Partizan — fair odds of 2.08, 4.17 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Železničar Pančevo at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Z. PopovićG
- 19U. TegeltijaD
- 6M. MilikićD
- 5N. VidojevićD
- 33N. ĐuričićD
- 20J. JevremovićM
- 95S. PlavšićM
- 11N. JovanovićM
- 77K. ŠekularacM
- 10S. PedroM
- 21D. AnkeyeF
- 26M. Amadou SaboM
- 12A. YusifD
- 47Yassin SbaiF
- 27M. PantovićM
- 63S. ObradovićD
- 66J. MiladinovićG
- 88C. LhernaultM
- 17A. KuljaninF
- 7M. ĆurićM
- 1M. MiloševićG
- 20Samson NwuluD
- 21Sidney LimaD
- 40N. SimićD
- 4M. JurčevičD
- 27N. ČumićM
- 8A. ZekovicM
- 17M. AleksiÄM
- 32N. TrifunovićM
- 10I. MiladinovićF
- 89JehF
- 39Z. IbrahimM
- 90Z. AliloviÄM
- 14I. BabaM
- 24V. ĐurđevićD
- 9E. KojzekF
- 99B. KostićF
- 31M. KrunićG
- 44S. MilićD
- 5M. MilovanovićD
Form going into Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan
Železničar Pančevo
Super Liga
- W3-0away to Zemun11 October 2026
FK Partizan
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Novi Pazar11 October 2026
- D4-4away to Radnik Surdulica19 September 2026
- L2-3Vojvodina13 September 2026
- L1-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda6 September 2026
- W3-1OFK Beograd31 August 2026
What these results say
- FK Partizan scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FK Partizan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FK Partizan had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Železničar Pančevo | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 29 |
| 10 | FK Partizan | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Železničar Pančevo vs FK Partizan
- 18 April 2026FK Partizan 2–1 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
- 22 November 2025FK Partizan 1–3 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
- 20 July 2025Železničar Pančevo 0–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 8 December 2024Železničar Pančevo 0–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 4 August 2024FK Partizan 2–0 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
- 2 March 2024FK Partizan 3–1 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Železničar Pančevo and FK Partizan
Železničar Pančevo
GoalsAssists
- D. Ankeye50
- K. Kwaku42
FK Partizan
GoalsAssists
- E. Kojzek32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Železničar Pančevo beat FK Partizan 1–0. The model had made a win for Železničar Pančevo its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: David Akpan Ankeye 13' for Železničar Pančevo. Sent off: Mario Jurčevič (FK Partizan) 74'. On expected goals it finished 0.80–0.53.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Železničar Pančevo a 60.3% chance to finish in the top four: 69.5% after a win, 56.5% after a draw, 48.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 69.5%, 9.2 points higher than before the match.
For FK Partizan the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 25.9% going in: 36.5% after a win, 25.3% after a draw, 18.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 18.2%, 7.7 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Železničar Pančevo v FK Partizan has moved
First published on 3 Oct at 42% / 27% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 48% / 24% / 28%: the biggest move is Železničar Pančevo's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Železničar Pančevo win48%▲ +6
- Draw24%▼ −3
- FK Partizan win28%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.