Inverness CT sit 6th in the Championship on 20 points from 15 matches, having scored 20 and conceded 20 — level on goal difference. On the model's scale they rate 0.53 in attack and 2.51 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.45 and 2.24: dangerous going forward and vulnerable at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently losing to Partick 2-3 away. That is 1.33 points a match, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.33 per game across 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats. That leaves them 11 points behind Partick at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 1st-best attack and the 6th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Ayr Utd in the Championship on 20 November 2026, a match the model gives them 54%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21:9 | +12 | DWLWW | 31 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | +2 | LLLLW | 26 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:12 | +9 | DLWDL | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15:7 | +8 | DWWWD | 25 |
| 5 | Livingston | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:12 | +9 | DWWDW | 24 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | WWLDL | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | DLWLW | 18 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | LLLLW | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | WWWWL | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8:25 | -17 | LLLLL | 7 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Inverness CT sit 6 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L2-3away to Partick14 November 2026
- D1-1Livingston7 November 2026
- L1-5away to Dunfermline31 October 2026
- W2-0away to Raith Rovers24 October 2026
- W2-0Arbroath17 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd
Inverness CT host Ayr Utd at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness on 20 November 2026, 19:30 UTC. The model makes it 54% Inverness CT, 23% draw and 23% Ayr Utd, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 2.27 expected goals for Inverness CT against 1.33. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Full preview and model analysis for Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd
Recent meetings with Ayr Utd
- 12 September 2026Ayr Utd 1–3 Inverness CTChampionship
- 24 February 2026Ayr Utd 1–2 Inverness CTChallenge Cup
- 16 March 2024Inverness CT 1–2 Ayr UtdChampionship
- 6 January 2024Ayr Utd 1–3 Inverness CTChampionship
- 11 November 2023Inverness CT 3–1 Ayr UtdChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Inverness CT
-
Queen's Park v Livingston · 21 November 2026
Inverness CT fans want a draw: that leaves Inverness CT's chance of a top-four finish at 29.6%, against 26.6% if Livingston win (27.8% today).
Queen's Park win29.3%+1.5Draw29.6%+1.8Livingston win26.6%−1.2 -
Arbroath v Stenhousemuir · 21 November 2026
Inverness CT fans want Arbroath to win: that leaves Inverness CT's chance of a top-four finish at 29.1%, against 26.4% if Stenhousemuir win (27.8% today).
Arbroath win29.1%+1.3Draw29.1%+1.3Stenhousemuir win26.4%−1.4 -
Raith Rovers v Partick · 21 November 2026
Inverness CT fans want Partick to win: that leaves Inverness CT's chance of a top-four finish at 28.9%, against 26.5% if Raith Rovers win (27.8% today).
Raith Rovers win26.5%−1.3Draw28.0%+0.2Partick win28.9%+1.1
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Inverness CT's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.