Ayr Utd sit 7th in the Championship on 18 points from 14 matches, having scored 17 and conceded 19. On the model's scale they rate 0.44 in attack and 2.63 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.45 and 2.24: about average in attack, below it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently beating Raith Rovers 3-1 at home. That is 1.29 points a match, scoring 1.21 and conceding 1.36 per game across 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats. That leaves them 13 points behind Partick at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 8th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they travel to Morton in the Championship on 24 October 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21:9 | +12 | DWLWW | 31 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | +2 | LLLLW | 26 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:12 | +9 | DLWDL | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 15:7 | +8 | DWWWD | 25 |
| 5 | Livingston | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:12 | +9 | DWWDW | 24 |
| 6 | Inverness CT | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | WWLDL | 20 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | DLWLW | 18 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | LLLLW | 14 |
| 9 | Morton | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | WWWWL | 13 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8:25 | -17 | LLLLL | 7 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Ayr Utd sit 7 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W3-1Raith Rovers14 November 2026
- L1-4away to Arbroath7 November 2026
- W3-2Queen's Park31 October 2026
- L0-1Partick16 October 2026
- D1-1Dunfermline10 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Ayr Utd vs Morton
Ayr Utd travel to Morton at Cappielow Park, Greenock on 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 35% Ayr Utd, 27% draw and 38% Morton, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1.
Full preview and model analysis for Ayr Utd vs Morton
Recent meetings with Morton
- 29 August 2026Ayr Utd 1–1 MortonChampionship
- 21 March 2026Ayr Utd 0–1 MortonChampionship
- 27 December 2025Morton 1–1 Ayr UtdChampionship
- 18 October 2025Ayr Utd 2–1 MortonChampionship
- 23 August 2025Morton 2–2 Ayr UtdChampionship
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Ayr Utd
-
Dunfermline v Morton · 21 November 2026
Ayr Utd fans want Dunfermline to win: that leaves Ayr Utd's risk of a bottom-two finish at 16.4%, against 20.9% if Morton win (17.4% today).
Dunfermline win16.4%−1.0Draw18.2%+0.8Morton win20.9%+3.5 -
Arbroath v Stenhousemuir · 21 November 2026
Ayr Utd fans want Stenhousemuir to win: that leaves Ayr Utd's risk of a bottom-two finish at 16.1%, against 19.1% if Arbroath win (17.4% today).
Arbroath win19.1%+1.7Draw17.1%−0.3Stenhousemuir win16.1%−1.3
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Ayr Utd's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.