Rochdale sit 22nd in the League Two on 15 points from 15 matches, having scored 17 and conceded 27. On the model's scale they rate 0.43 in attack and 2.71 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against League Two averages of 0.48 and 2.10: below the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 draw and 4 defeats, most recently losing to York 0-1 at home. That is 1.00 points a match, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.80 per game across 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats. That leaves them 17 points behind Salford City at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 19th-best attack and the 23rd-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they travel to Northampton in the League Two on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 23%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | WWWWD | 32 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | +10 | WLDWD | 26 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 28:19 | +9 | LDWWW | 23 |
| 4 | York | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | DWLLW | 23 |
| 5 | Crewe | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 19:19 | 0 | WLLDD | 23 |
| 6 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | DDWLW | 22 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:21 | +5 | LDWLW | 22 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12:9 | +3 | DWWLW | 22 |
| 9 | Cheltenham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | LWWLL | 21 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | WWDLW | 21 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | +1 | WLLWW | 20 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:21 | -1 | LDLWL | 20 |
| 13 | Accrington Stanley | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | WDWDL | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 22:19 | +3 | DDLWD | 19 |
| 15 | Tranmere | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:18 | +1 | LWDWL | 19 |
| 16 | Swindon Town | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | DWDWL | 19 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | WDLWW | 18 |
| 18 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | LLDLL | 16 |
| 19 | Northampton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | LWDLD | 15 |
| 20 | Oldham | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | LDLWL | 15 |
| 21 | Colchester | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | DDLLW | 15 |
| 22 | Rochdale | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | LDLLL | 15 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | LLDDL | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | DLLDW | 9 |
- Promotion to League One
- League Two play-offs
- Relegation
Rochdale sit 22 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1York14 November 2026
- L2-4away to Port Vale31 October 2026
- L0-5Accrington Stanley24 October 2026
- D2-2Grimsby20 October 2026
- L2-3away to Crewe17 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Rochdale vs Northampton
Rochdale travel to Northampton at Sixfields Stadium, Northampton on 21 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 23% Rochdale, 31% draw and 46% Northampton, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.76 expected goals for Rochdale against 1.31. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Full preview and model analysis for Rochdale vs Northampton
Recent meetings with Northampton
- 11 February 2023Rochdale 1–1 NorthamptonLeague Two
- 17 September 2022Northampton 3–0 RochdaleLeague Two
- 26 February 2022Rochdale 1–0 NorthamptonLeague Two
- 21 August 2021Northampton 1–3 RochdaleLeague Two
- 23 February 2021Northampton 0–0 RochdaleLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Rochdale
-
Walsall v Crawley Town · 3 October 2026
Rochdale fans want Walsall to win: that leaves Rochdale's risk of a bottom-two finish at 44.9%, against 48.6% if Crawley Town win (45.5% today).
Walsall win44.9%−0.6Draw46.1%+0.6Crawley Town win48.6%+3.1 -
Port Vale v Northampton · 24 November 2026
Rochdale fans want a draw: that leaves Rochdale's risk of a bottom-two finish at 44.0%, against 47.1% if Port Vale win (45.5% today).
Port Vale win47.1%+1.6Draw44.0%−1.5Northampton win45.1%−0.4 -
Bristol Rovers v Tranmere · 28 November 2026
Rochdale fans want a draw: that leaves Rochdale's risk of a bottom-two finish at 44.0%, against 46.8% if Tranmere win (45.5% today).
Bristol Rovers win45.7%+0.2Draw44.0%−1.5Tranmere win46.8%+1.3
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Rochdale's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.