25 October 2026, 17:45 UTC

Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Mar del Plata
Referee: Sebastian Zunino
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Aldosivi 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Aldosivi, 32% draw, 41% Belgrano Cordoba — fair odds of 3.70, 3.13 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

Belgrano Cordoba at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aldosivi96%Draw4%Belgrano Cordoba0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽A. Vombergarassist: N. Cordero
20'
Néstor Breitenbruch
30'
🔁N. Corderoout: A. Chavez
55'
62'
🔁A. Sporleout: R. Hernandes
🔁L. Castroout: A. Sosa
66'
🔁F. Ansoout: B. Dadin
66'
78'
🔁L. Moralesout: A. J. Benitez Cabrera
78'
🔁E. Rigoniout: L. Gutierrez
🔁A. Vombergarout: N. Zalazar
82'
🔁F. Ginoout: F. Laurelli
82'

Match stats — Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba

36%Possession64%
15Shots15
5On target5
3Corners9
0.91xG1.27

Goals against chances

Aldosivi1 from 0.91 xGabout what the chances were worth
Belgrano Cordoba0 from 1.27 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Aldosivi 4-4-2
  • 42L. AcostaG
  • 28S. MoyaD
  • 25N. BreitenbruchD
  • 32J. PomboD
  • 13F. GinoD
  • 11A. PalavecinoM
  • 8M. GarciaM
  • 19L. CastroM
  • 24F. AnsoM
  • 9N. CorderoF
  • 29A. VombergarF
Substitutes
  • 23I. ChiccoG
  • 33N. ZalazarD
  • 34S. Filippini
  • 17F. LaurelliD
  • 4R. GonzalezD
  • 15F. PerruzziM
  • 22A. SosaF
  • 18A. ChavezF
  • 16B. DadinF
Coach: Javier Sanguinetti
Belgrano Cordoba 4-2-3-1
  • 25T. CardozoG
  • 14L. MoralesD
  • 2A. MaldonadoD
  • 17L. LopezD
  • 3A. SporleD
  • 21A. SanchezM
  • 20F. VazquezM
  • 24E. RigoniM
  • 10L. ZelarayanM
  • 53J. VelazquezM
  • 9L. PasseriniF
Substitutes
  • 23M. VicentiniG
  • 16F. RiccaD
  • 26A. J. Benitez CabreraD
  • 45A. FalconD
  • 8R. Hernandes
  • 37L. GutierrezF
  • 19S. Gatti
  • 5S. LongoM
  • 62G. MartinezM
Coach: Ricardo Zielinski

Form going into Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba

Aldosivi

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • L1-2away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto18 October 2026
  • L1-3Sarmiento Junin9 October 2026

Belgrano Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • L0-3River Plate18 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Racing Club11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Aldosivi1632111626-1011
6Belgrano Cordoba166551715+223

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba

Aldosivi and Belgrano Cordoba have met 7 times in the records we hold, Aldosivi has won 3 of them to Belgrano Cordoba's 2, with 2 drawn.

The record

Aldosivi won the last one 1–0 on 25 Oct 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Aldosivi32243
Belgrano Cordoba22334

Between them these 7 meetings produced 7 goals, an average of 1.00 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 25 Oct 2026
    Liga Profesional Argentina    Aldosivi 1–0 Belgrano Cordoba
  • 11 Apr 2026
    Liga Profesional Argentina    Belgrano Cordoba 1–0 Aldosivi
  • 15 Aug 2025
    Liga Profesional Argentina    Aldosivi 0–0 Belgrano Cordoba
  • 12 Feb 2025
    Liga Profesional Argentina    Belgrano Cordoba 2–0 Aldosivi
  • 24 Sep 2018
    Liga Profesional Argentina    Aldosivi 2–0 Belgrano Cordoba
  • 15 Oct 2016
    Liga Profesional Argentina    Belgrano Cordoba 0–0 Aldosivi
  • 16 Mar 2015
    Liga Profesional Argentina    Belgrano Cordoba 0–1 Aldosivi

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, Belgrano Cordoba's attack rates 18% above Aldosivi's, and Belgrano Cordoba concede 30% fewer than Aldosivi. That gives Belgrano Cordoba the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Aldosivi0.661.57
Belgrano Cordoba0.781.10

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

The result against the call

Aldosivi beat Belgrano Cordoba 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Belgrano Cordoba at 41% and given a win for Aldosivi 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: A. Vombergar 20' for Aldosivi. On expected goals it finished 0.91–1.27.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Aldosivi a 95.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 88.4% after a win, 97.1% after a draw, 98.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 88.4%, 7.2 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.