Rosario Central vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Rosario Central 2-0 Huracan.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Rosario Central, 30% draw, 21% Huracan — fair odds of 2.04, 3.33 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Rosario Central at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rosario Central vs Huracan
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23J. LedesmaG
- 32E. CoronelD
- 46Ignacio OvandoD
- 13G. ÁvilaD
- 3A. SandezD
- 5F. IbarraM
- 20V. PizarroM
- 88A. RodríguezM
- 11Á. Di MaríaM
- 8J. CampazM
- 22E. CopettiF
- 10F. CerviM
- 18J. FernándezF
- 26G. CantizanoM
- 38Damian Leandro FernandezG
- 24Juan Valentín GiménezD
- 6J. KomarD
- 15F. MalloD
- 9M. RubenF
- 33A. SotoD
- 1H. GalíndezG
- 2L. BlondelD
- 6F. PereyraD
- 35Máximo PalazzoD
- 25C. IbáñezD
- 20E. OjedaM
- 5R. FernándezM
- 15F. WallerM
- 7Ó. CortésF
- 9J. CaicedoF
- 17F. BisanzF
- 8L. GilM
- 24F. KalingerM
- 19L. LescanoD
- 46F. MartinezD
- 32S. MezaG
- 21M. NervoD
- 11T. PeraltaM
- 23I. PussettoF
- 48S. RaynelliM
Form going into Rosario Central vs Huracan
Rosario Central
Liga Profesional Argentina
- W3-2away to Atletico Tucuman17 October 2026
- W5-0Independiente Rivadavia11 October 2026
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L1-2Gimnasia La Plata15 October 2026
- L0-2away to Barracas Central10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
| 8 | Huracan | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Huracan vs Rosario Central
Huracan and Rosario Central have met 7 times in the records we hold, Huracan has won 4 of them to Rosario Central's 3.
The record
Rosario Central won the last one 2–0 on 25 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 |
| Rosario Central | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 13 goals, an average of 1.86 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 25 Oct 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRosario Central 2–0 Huracan - 12 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHuracan 3–1 Rosario Central - 18 May 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRosario Central 0–1 Huracan - 27 Jul 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRosario Central 0–1 Huracan - 1 Mar 2024
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalHuracan 2–0 Rosario Central - 6 Oct 2023
Copa de la Liga ProfesionalRosario Central 1–0 Huracan - 21 Mar 2023
Liga Profesional ArgentinaHuracan 0–2 Rosario Central
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Rosario Central's attack rates 48% above Huracan's, and Rosario Central concede 12% fewer than Huracan. That gives Rosario Central the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan | 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Rosario Central | 1.02 | 1.00 |
Leading scorers: Rosario Central and Huracan
Rosario Central
GoalsAssists
- Á. Di María115
- G. Ávila73
Huracan
GoalsAssists
- J. Caicedo140
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rosario Central beat Huracan 2–0. The model had made a win for Rosario Central its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Emanuel Coronel 20' for Rosario Central, Ángel Di María 84' for Rosario Central. Sent off: Jorge Francisco Almirón Quintana (Rosario Central) 45+1'. On expected goals it finished 2.15–0.52.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Rosario Central a 61.0% chance to finish top of the Clausura Group A: 77.0% after a win, 47.4% after a draw, 32.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 77.0%, 16 points higher than before the match.
For Huracan the question was the chance to finish in the top eight, 60.7% going in: 91.6% after a win, 65.9% after a draw, 48.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 48.3%, 12.4 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Rosario Central v Huracan has moved
First published on 11 Oct at 42% / 34% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 49% / 30% / 21%: the biggest move is Rosario Central's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Rosario Central win49%▲ +7
- Draw30%▼ −4
- Huracan win21%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.