Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Belgrano Cordoba 2-2 Barracas Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Belgrano Cordoba, 34% draw, 25% Barracas Central — fair odds of 2.44, 2.94 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Belgrano Cordoba at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25T. CardozoG
- 26Alcides BenítezD
- 14L. MoralesD
- 17Lisandro LópezD
- 16F. RiccaD
- 21A. SánchezM
- 5S. LongoM
- 24E. RigoniM
- 20F. VázquezM
- 10L. ZelarayánM
- 9L. PasseriniF
- 19Santino GattiM
- 45A. FalconD
- 11F. GonzálezM
- 37L. GutierrezF
- 8R. HernandesM
- 2A. MaldonadoD
- 62Gastón David MartínezM
- 3A. SpörleD
- 15R. TuliánM
- 1J. EspínolaG
- 13R. BarriosD
- 15Y. RakD
- 31N. DemartiniD
- 17E. PereyraD
- 10I. TapiaM
- 5D. MilocM
- 28R. BogarínM
- 8T. PorraM
- 33G. MaroniM
- 77F. BrueraF
- 16Ivan GuarazM
- 19Carlos ArceM
- 6R. InsúaD
- 38Juan Pablo InsúaG
- 36Tomas LavezziF
- 4D. MartínezD
- 34N. OrsiniF
- 35E. RolónM
- 24Enzo TabordaM
Form going into Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central
Belgrano Cordoba
Liga Profesional Argentina
- L0-1away to Aldosivi25 October 2026
- L0-3River Plate18 October 2026
- W2-0away to Racing Club11 October 2026
Barracas Central
Liga Profesional Argentina
- W2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto26 October 2026
- D1-1away to Sarmiento Junin19 October 2026
- W2-0Huracan10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Barracas Central vs Belgrano Cordoba
Barracas Central and Belgrano Cordoba have met 7 times in the records we hold, Barracas Central has won 2 of them to Belgrano Cordoba's 0, with 5 drawn.
The record
They drew 2–2 at Belgrano Cordoba on 1 Nov 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barracas Central | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 5 |
| Belgrano Cordoba | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 13 goals, an average of 1.86 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 1 Nov 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBelgrano Cordoba 2–2 Barracas Central - 20 Apr 2026
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBarracas Central 0–0 Belgrano Cordoba - 29 Sep 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBarracas Central 1–1 Belgrano Cordoba - 17 Mar 2025
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBelgrano Cordoba 1–1 Barracas Central - 21 Nov 2024
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBarracas Central 1–1 Belgrano Cordoba - 7 Jul 2023
Liga Profesional ArgentinaBelgrano Cordoba 0–2 Barracas Central - 12 Dec 2020
Primera NacionalBarracas Central 1–0 Belgrano Cordoba
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, the two attacks rate almost level, and the two defences are almost level too. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Barracas Central | 0.78 | 1.10 |
| Belgrano Cordoba | 0.78 | 1.10 |
The result against the call
Belgrano Cordoba and Barracas Central drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Belgrano Cordoba at 41% and given a draw 34%. The goals: Lucas Passerini 27' for Belgrano Cordoba, Lucas Passerini 48' for Belgrano Cordoba, Esteban Rolón 80' for Barracas Central, Nicolás Demartini 90+6' for Barracas Central. On expected goals it finished 1.61–1.20.
How the call on Belgrano Cordoba v Barracas Central has moved
First published on 18 Oct at 45% / 34% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 41% / 34% / 25%: the biggest move is Belgrano Cordoba's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Belgrano Cordoba win41%▼ −4
- Draw34%=
- Barracas Central win25%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.