Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: Cambuur 4-0 GO Ahead Eagles.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Cambuur, 23% draw, 33% GO Ahead Eagles — fair odds of 2.27, 4.35 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
Has the model earned this number?
Cambuur at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. JansenG
- 2D. BouahD
- 4I. BaoufD
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 33M. MaertensM
- 8N. SourenM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 30J. ÇekaF
- 13N. BinderF
- 11I. HamacheF
- 3J. BerkhoutD
- 17Ethan ApkakouM
- 7S. BouhoudaneF
- 29Iwan HenstraF
- 23L. JettenD
- 24M. KalisvaartG
- 27W. KooistraF
- 15F. KvamF
- 16R. MuldersD
- 24J. CillessenG
- 2A. SampstedD
- 26J. DirksenD
- 4J. KramerD
- 5D. JamesD
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 11O. SivertsenM
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 17M. SurayM
- 16V. EdvardsenF
- 23T. BaetenF
- 29E. FlatakerF
- 27Tomas GalvezD
- 1K. HaugG
- 18R. MargaretF
- 3G. NauberD
- 34Y. RahmouniM
- 9S. SigurðarsonF
- 25G. van ZwamD
Form going into Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles
Cambuur
Eredivisie
- W6-1away to Willem II24 October 2026
- D2-2AZ Alkmaar18 October 2026
- W1-0away to PEC Zwolle11 October 2026
GO Ahead Eagles
Eredivisie
- W3-2Telstar23 October 2026
- L1-4away to PEC Zwolle18 October 2026
- D3-3Sparta Rotterdam10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 15 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cambuur vs GO Ahead Eagles
Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles have met 7 times in the records we hold, Cambuur has won 3 of them to GO Ahead Eagles's 2, with 2 drawn.
The record
Cambuur won the last one 4–0 on 31 Oct 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 22 goals, an average of 3.14 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 31 Oct 2026
EredivisieCambuur 4–0 GO Ahead Eagles - 5 Mar 2023
EredivisieCambuur 4–1 GO Ahead Eagles - 9 Oct 2022
EredivisieGO Ahead Eagles 0–0 Cambuur - 19 Mar 2022
EredivisieGO Ahead Eagles 3–0 Cambuur - 11 Sep 2021
EredivisieCambuur 5–2 GO Ahead Eagles - 12 Mar 2021
Eerste DivisieGO Ahead Eagles 0–0 Cambuur - 17 Dec 2020
KNVB BekerCambuur 1–2 GO Ahead Eagles
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Cambuur's attack rates 22% above GO Ahead Eagles', and GO Ahead Eagles concede 4% fewer than Cambuur. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 0.99 | 1.36 |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 0.81 | 1.31 |
Leading scorers: Cambuur and GO Ahead Eagles
Cambuur
GoalsAssists
- R. El Arguioui62
- I. Hamache53
- N. Binder52
GO Ahead Eagles
GoalsAssists
- S. Tengstedt92
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cambuur beat GO Ahead Eagles 4–0. The model had made a win for Cambuur its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Ismaël Baouf 7' for Cambuur, Jason Ceka 15' for Cambuur, Billy van Duijl 41' for Cambuur, Rafik El Arguioui 80' for Cambuur. On expected goals it finished 1.60–0.66.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Cambuur a 9.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 7.3% after a win, 10.1% after a draw, 12.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.3%, 2.6 points lower than before the match.
For GO Ahead Eagles the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 5.5% going in: 2.6% after a win, 4.7% after a draw, 6.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.9%, 1.4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Eredivisie season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Cambuur v GO Ahead Eagles has moved
First published on 17 Oct at 32% / 24% / 44% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 44% / 23% / 33%: the biggest move is Cambuur's chance of winning, up 12 points.
- Cambuur win44%▲ +12
- Draw23%▼ −1
- GO Ahead Eagles win33%▼ −11
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.