1 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Frosinone vs Torino Serie A prediction & result

Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Referee: Giuseppe Mucera
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Frosinone 2-0 Torino.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% Frosinone, 22% draw, 25% Torino — fair odds of 1.89, 4.55 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

Frosinone at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Frosinone96%Draw4%Torino0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
Zakaria Aboukhlal
🔁Antonio Raimondoout: Daniel Birligea
30'
33'
Gvidas Gineitis
45'
🔁Gvidas Gineitisout: Emirhan İlkhan
45'
🔁Zakaria Aboukhlalout: Nathan Patterson
⚽Farès Ghedjemisassist: Giorgi Kvernadze
48'
Patrizio Masini
62'
66'
Saúl Coco
🔁Romano Schmidout: Luis Hasa
67'
🔁Patrizio Masiniout: Matteo Cichella
67'
71'
🔁Rafik Belghaliout: Gaetano Oristanio
71'
🔁Che Adamsout: Duván Zapata
🔁Giorgi Kvernadzeout: Alessio Zerbin
80'
🔁Enzo Tchatoout: Wisdom Amey
80'
81'
🔁Giovanni Simeoneout: Sandro Kulenović
⚽Giacomo Calòassist: Wisdom Amey
90+3'

Match stats — Frosinone vs Torino

46%Possession54%
20Shots12
8On target3
7Corners7
1.93xG0.68

Goals against chances

Frosinone2 from 1.93 xGabout what the chances were worth
Torino0 from 0.68 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Frosinone 4-2-3-1
  • 22L. PalmisaniG
  • 90E. TchatoD
  • 3G. CalvaniD
  • 30I. MonterisiD
  • 79G. BracagliaD
  • 73P. MasiniM
  • 14G. CalòM
  • 7F. GhedjemisM
  • 10R. SchmidM
  • 17G. KvernadzeM
  • 9A. RaimondoF
Substitutes
  • 11D. BîrligeaF
  • 24A. ZerbinF
  • 71A. TerzićD
  • 12M. PisseriG
  • 20A. OyonoD
  • 70L. HasaM
  • 40S. FiniF
  • 74Omar FayedD
  • 25K. AkpogumaD
Coach: M. Alvini
Torino 3-5-2
  • 20Lucas PerriG
  • 23Saúl CocoD
  • 44A. IsmajliD
  • 15P. ComuzzoD
  • 45R. BelghaliM
  • 10N. VlašićM
  • 21Daniel BragançaM
  • 66G. GineitisM
  • 7Z. AboukhlalM
  • 18G. SimeoneF
  • 19C. AdamsF
Substitutes
  • 91D. ZapataF
  • 63Manuel CarrascosaD
  • 22C. CasadeiM
  • 76L. SivieroG
  • 9P. PellegriF
  • 2N. PattersonD
  • 11G. OristanioM
  • 26D. MascardiG
  • 17S. KulenovićF
Coach: Ignazio Abate

Form going into Frosinone vs Torino

Frosinone

Serie A

  • W5-1Lecce29 October 2026
  • D4-4away to Atalanta25 October 2026
  • W4-2Sassuolo16 October 2026

Torino

Serie A

  • L1-3Como27 October 2026
  • W3-2Monza23 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Parma19 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Frosinone116232415+920
11Torino114251517-214

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Frosinone vs Torino

Frosinone and Torino have met 7 times in the records we hold, Torino has won 3 of them to Frosinone's 2, with 2 drawn.

The record

Frosinone won the last one 2–0 on 1 Nov 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Frosinone223910
Torino322109

Between them these 7 meetings produced 19 goals, an average of 2.71 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 1 Nov 2026
    Serie A    Frosinone 2–0 Torino
  • 21 Apr 2024
    Serie A    Torino 0–0 Frosinone
  • 10 Dec 2023
    Serie A    Frosinone 0–0 Torino
  • 2 Nov 2023
    Coppa Italia    Torino 1–2 Frosinone
  • 10 Mar 2019
    Serie A    Frosinone 1–2 Torino
  • 5 Oct 2018
    Serie A    Torino 3–2 Frosinone
  • 16 Jan 2016
    Serie A    Torino 4–2 Frosinone

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, Frosinone's attack rates 46% above Torino's, and Frosinone concede 3% fewer than Torino. That gives Frosinone the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Frosinone1.391.03
Torino0.951.06

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: Frosinone and Torino

Frosinone

GoalsAssists

  • A. Raimondo80
  • G. Calò51

Torino

GoalsAssists

  • C. Adams40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Frosinone beat Torino 2–0. The model had made a win for Frosinone its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Farès Ghedjemis 48' for Frosinone, Giacomo Calò 90+3' for Frosinone. On expected goals it finished 1.93–0.68.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Frosinone a 19.9% chance to finish in the top four: 22.2% after a win, 17.4% after a draw, 13.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.2%, 2.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Serie A season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Frosinone v Torino has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 49% / 25% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 53% / 22% / 25%: the biggest move is Frosinone's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Frosinone win53%▲ +4
  2. Draw22%▼ −3
  3. Torino win25%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.