Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Trabzonspor 2-0 Gaziantep FK.
Before kick-off the model made it 71% Trabzonspor, 18% draw, 11% Gaziantep FK — fair odds of 1.41, 5.56 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published
Has the model earned this number?
Trabzonspor at 71%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 24André OnanaG
- 20Wagner PinaD
- 27Chibuike NwaiwuD
- 15Stefan SavićD
- 55Sidny Lopes CabralD
- 6FabinhoM
- 10Mohamed SalahM
- 57Melih KabasakalM
- 7Ernest MuçiM
- 70Noah SavioloM
- 30Paul OnuachuF
- 26Tim Jabol-FolcarelliM
- 14Umut NayirF
- 11Ozan TufanM
- 77Metehan MimaroğluF
- 19Mustafa EskihellaçD
- 1Ahmet Doğan YıldırımG
- 96Erol Can ÇolakG
- 4Samet AkaydınD
- 39Cenk ÖzkaçarD
- 35Ataberk DadakdenizG
- 2Luis PérezD
- 5Efe SarıkayaD
- 21Abakar SyllaD
- 23Kerim ÇalhanoğluD
- 8Gidado Victor Ntino-EmoM
- 7Juninho BacunaM
- 18Deian SorescuM
- 3Drissa CamaraM
- 10Kacper KozłowskiM
- 9Trivante StewartF
- 17Karamba GassamaM
- 44Alexandru MaximM
- 28Halil DervişoğluF
- 77Sabahattin DesticiD
- 83Mervan MüjdeciM
- 81Cemilhan AslanG
- 79Ahmet SırmaD
- 11Mirza CihanM
- 46Ali Osman KalınF
Form going into Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig
- W4-3away to Rizespor26 October 2026
- W2-0Beşiktaş19 October 2026
- W3-0away to Samsunspor10 October 2026
Gaziantep FK
Süper Lig
- L1-3Erzurumspor FK24 October 2026
- L1-2away to Başakşehir18 October 2026
- L0-3Çorum FK11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 8 | +18 | 25 |
| 16 | Gaziantep FK | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gaziantep FK vs Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK and Trabzonspor have met 7 times in the records we hold, Trabzonspor has won 5 of them to Gaziantep FK's 0, with 2 drawn.
The record
Trabzonspor won the last one 2–0 on 1 Nov 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 |
| Trabzonspor | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 7 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 22 goals, an average of 3.14 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 1 Nov 2026
Süper LigTrabzonspor 2–0 Gaziantep FK - 22 Feb 2026
Süper LigGaziantep FK 1–2 Trabzonspor - 20 Sep 2025
Süper LigTrabzonspor 1–1 Gaziantep FK - 23 Feb 2025
Süper LigTrabzonspor 3–2 Gaziantep FK - 23 Sep 2024
Süper LigGaziantep FK 0–0 Trabzonspor - 28 Apr 2024
Süper LigTrabzonspor 4–2 Gaziantep FK - 10 Dec 2023
Süper LigGaziantep FK 1–3 Trabzonspor
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, Trabzonspor's attack rates 87% above Gaziantep FK's, and Trabzonspor concede 38% fewer than Gaziantep FK. That gives Trabzonspor the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 0.60 | 1.42 |
| Trabzonspor | 1.12 | 0.88 |
Leading scorers: Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK
Trabzonspor
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Salah93
- Franculino Djú42
- E. Muçi36
Gaziantep FK
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Trabzonspor beat Gaziantep FK 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Trabzonspor at 71%. The goals: S. Savic 45+2' for Trabzonspor, E. Muci 61' for Trabzonspor. On expected goals it finished 1.23–0.67.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Trabzonspor a 76.9% chance to finish in the top four: 78.5% after a win, 72.3% after a draw, 72.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 78.5%, 1.6 points higher than before the match.
For Gaziantep FK the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 46.6% going in: 32.9% after a win, 41.6% after a draw, 48.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 48.6%, 2 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Trabzonspor v Gaziantep FK has moved
First published on 18 Oct at 67% / 20% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 71% / 18% / 11%: the biggest move is Trabzonspor's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Trabzonspor win71%▲ +4
- Draw18%▼ −2
- Gaziantep FK win11%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.