3 November 2026, 19:45 UTC

Preston vs Sheffield Utd Championship prediction & result

Deepdale, Preston
Referee: John Busby
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Preston 2-3 Sheffield Utd.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Preston, 28% draw, 44% Sheffield Utd — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

Sheffield Utd at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Preston0%Draw3%Sheffield Utd97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Leo Leroyassist: Andrija Vukčević
2'
🔁Johnny Kennyout: Callum Lang
13'
27'
⚽Sydie Peckassist: Harrison Burrows
37'
⚽Sydie Peckassist: Ben Brereton
45+1'
⚽Sydie Peckassist: Romelle Donovan
🔁Andrija Vukčevićout: Caleb Wiley
45'
🔁Jordan Storeyout: Liam Lindsay
45'
58'
🔁Jaïro Riedewaldout: Oliver Arblaster
58'
🔁Tahith Chongout: Femi Seriki
🔁Jusef Erabiout: Alfie Devine
64'
Leo Leroy
66'
71'
🔁Hamza Choudhuryout: Jordan Ayew
⚽Callum Langassist: Alfie Devine
76'
83'
🔁Romelle Donovanout: Sam McCallum
🔁Stanley Millsout: Brad Potts
90'

Match stats — Preston vs Sheffield Utd

40%Possession60%
6Shots18
2On target5
3Corners3
0.96xG2.02

Goals against chances

Preston2 from 0.96 xGmore than the chances were worth
Sheffield Utd3 from 2.02 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Preston 3-4-1-2
  • 1D. IversenG
  • 24O. OffiahD
  • 14J. StoreyD
  • 16A. HughesD
  • 17S. MillsM
  • 27L. LeroyM
  • 15J. ThompsonM
  • 3A. VukčevićM
  • 23A. MoranM
  • 38J. KennyF
  • 9J. ErabiF
Substitutes
  • 37D. BurgzorgF
  • 7A. DevineM
  • 10C. LangF
  • 6L. LindsayD
  • 21L. NichollsG
  • 44B. PottsM
  • 11T. SmallD
  • 12C. WileyD
  • 32Ed NolanD
Coach: G. Alexander
Sheffield Utd 4-4-2
  • 1M. CooperG
  • 8H. ChoudhuryD
  • 5J. TangangaD
  • 25M. McGuinnessD
  • 14H. BurrowsD
  • 19T. ChongM
  • 42Sydie PeckM
  • 44J. RiedewaldM
  • 11R. DonovanM
  • 9T. CannonF
  • 22B. BreretonF
Substitutes
  • 33J. BaptisteM
  • 23T. CampbellF
  • 2M. DohertyD
  • 3S. McCallumD
  • 30R. Norrington-DaviesD
  • 38F. SerikiD
  • 10J. AyewF
  • 4O. ArblasterM
  • 31Tommy BettsG
Coach: Chris Wilder

Form going into Preston vs Sheffield Utd

Preston

Championship

  • L0-2away to Stoke City31 October 2026
  • D1-1West Brom24 October 2026
  • L1-4away to Wrexham17 October 2026

Sheffield Utd

Championship

  • W1-0Wrexham30 October 2026
  • D1-1Derby24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Bristol City17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
24Preston1522111330-178
10Sheffield Utd156452119+222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Preston vs Sheffield Utd

Preston and Sheffield Utd have met 7 times in the records we hold, Sheffield Utd has won 5 of them to Preston's 2.

The record

Sheffield Utd won the last one 3–2 on 3 Nov 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Preston205916
Sheffield Utd502169

Between them these 7 meetings produced 25 goals, an average of 3.57 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 3 Nov 2026
    Championship    Preston 2–3 Sheffield Utd
  • 25 Apr 2026
    Championship    Sheffield Utd 2–3 Preston
  • 24 Oct 2025
    Championship    Preston 3–2 Sheffield Utd
  • 8 Mar 2025
    Championship    Sheffield Utd 1–0 Preston
  • 9 Aug 2024
    Championship    Preston 0–2 Sheffield Utd
  • 29 Apr 2023
    Championship    Sheffield Utd 4–1 Preston
  • 17 Sep 2022
    Championship    Preston 0–2 Sheffield Utd

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, Sheffield Utd's attack rates 33% above Preston's, and Sheffield Utd concede 21% fewer than Preston. That gives Sheffield Utd the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Preston0.571.68
Sheffield Utd0.761.33

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: Preston and Sheffield Utd

Preston

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Sheffield Utd

GoalsAssists

  • P. Bamford51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sheffield Utd won 3–2 at Preston. The model had made a win for Sheffield Utd its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Leo Leroy 2' for Preston, Sydie Peck 27' for Sheffield Utd, Sydie Peck 37' for Sheffield Utd, Sydie Peck 45+1' for Sheffield Utd, Callum Lang 76' for Preston. On expected goals it finished 0.96–2.02.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Preston a 82.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 78.0% after a win, 82.8% after a draw, 86.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 86.1%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Championship season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.