24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Preston vs West Brom Championship prediction & result

Deepdale, Preston
Referee: Elliot Bell, England
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Preston 1-1 West Brom.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Preston, 29% draw, 43% West Brom — fair odds of 3.57, 3.45 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published

Has the model earned this number?

West Brom at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Preston3%Draw93%West Brom4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
Harry Whitwell
🔁Alfie Devineout: Andrew Moran
45'
60'
🔁Harry Whitwellout: J. Morgan
60'
🔁Barney Stewartout: Aune Heggebo
Andrew Moran
64'
🔁Brad Pottsout: Callum Lang
70'
🔁Johnny Kennyout: Jusef Erabi
70'
⚽Andrew Hughesassist: Leo Leroy
78'
82'
⚽Aune Heggebo
Graham Alexander
83'
85'
🔁Felix Horn Myhreout: Kareem Tunde
88'
🔁Ousmane·Diakiteout: Rabby Nzingoula

Match stats — Preston vs West Brom

28%Possession72%
19Shots20
4On target5
6Corners9
1.83xG2.09

Goals against chances

Preston1 from 1.83 xGless than the chances were worth
West Brom1 from 2.09 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Preston 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. IversenG
  • 24O. OffiahD
  • 14J. StoreyD
  • 16A. HughesD
  • 3A. VukčevićD
  • 44B. PottsM
  • 27L. LeroyM
  • 17S. MillsM
  • 7A. DevineM
  • 37D. BurgzorgM
  • 38J. KennyF
Substitutes
  • 9J. ErabiF
  • 10C. LangF
  • 23A. MoranM
  • 21L. NichollsG
  • 11T. SmallD
  • 2Pol ValentínD
  • 12C. WileyD
  • 32Ed NolanD
  • 35Isaac IrwinD
Coach: G. Alexander
West Brom 4-4-2
  • 1M. O’LearyG
  • 18B. PereiraD
  • 2C. MephamD
  • 6G. CampbellD
  • 4C. StylesD
  • 29Harry WhitwellM
  • 8J. MolumbyM
  • 17O. DiakitéM
  • 21I. PriceM
  • 7F. MyhreF
  • 9B. StewartF
Substitutes
  • 11J. MorganF
  • 20R. NzingoulaM
  • 3N. PhillipsD
  • 22C. TownsendD
  • 26K. TundeF
  • 13M. IngramG
  • 19A. HeggebøF
  • 23T. BanyF
  • 35M. CrowtherM
Coach: J. Morrison

Form going into Preston vs West Brom

Preston

Championship

  • L1-4away to Wrexham17 October 2026

West Brom

Championship

  • W3-2Blackburn17 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
24Preston1522111330-178
5West Brom158432315+828

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Preston vs West Brom

Preston and West Brom have met 7 times in the records we hold, West Brom has won 5 of them to Preston's 0, with 2 drawn.

The record

They drew 1–1 at Preston on 24 Oct 2026.

ClubWDLGFGA
Preston025416
West Brom520164

Between them these 7 meetings produced 20 goals, an average of 2.86 a game.

Every meeting

Every recorded meeting, newest first.

  • 24 Oct 2026
    Championship    Preston 1–1 West Brom
  • 18 Apr 2026
    Championship    Preston 0–2 West Brom
  • 18 Oct 2025
    Championship    West Brom 2–1 Preston
  • 1 Jan 2025
    Championship    West Brom 3–1 Preston
  • 30 Nov 2024
    Championship    Preston 1–1 West Brom
  • 4 May 2024
    Championship    West Brom 3–0 Preston
  • 30 Sep 2023
    Championship    Preston 0–4 West Brom

How the model rates them now

On the current ratings, West Brom's attack rates 25% above Preston's, and West Brom concede 37% fewer than Preston. That gives West Brom the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.

ClubAttackDefence
Preston0.571.68
West Brom0.711.06

More head-to-heads on this week’s board →

Leading scorers: Preston and West Brom

Preston

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

West Brom

GoalsAssists

  • I. Price63
  • J. Morgan54

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Preston and West Brom drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for West Brom at 43% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Andrew Hughes 78' for Preston, Aune Heggebo 82' for West Brom. On expected goals it finished 1.83–2.09.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Preston a 85.6% chance to finish in the bottom three: 81.9% after a win, 86.3% after a draw, 87.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 86.3%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Championship season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Preston v West Brom has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 33% / 30% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 28% / 29% / 43%: the biggest move is West Brom's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Preston win28%▼ −5
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. West Brom win43%▲ +6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.