Everton sit 9th in the Premier League on 6 points from 4 matches, having scored 5 and conceded 3. The model rates their attack at 0.90× the league average and their defence at 0.91× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 4 league matches they have 1 win and 3 draws, most recently drawing with Tottenham 0-0 away. That is 1.50 points a match, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.75 per game across 1 win, 3 draws and 0 defeats. That leaves them 6 points behind Arsenal at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 16th-best attack and the 11th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 4 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Ipswich in the Premier League on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 39%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
Everton sit 9 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D0-0away to Tottenham12 September 2026
- D2-2Manchester United6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Bournemouth29 August 2026
- W2-0Crystal Palace22 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Everton vs Ipswich
Everton host Ipswich at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool on 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 39% Everton, 30% draw and 31% Ipswich, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.41 expected goals for Everton against 1.10. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Full preview and model analysis for Everton vs Ipswich
Recent meetings with Ipswich
- 3 May 2025Everton 2–2 IpswichPremier League
- 19 October 2024Ipswich 0–2 EvertonPremier League
The last 2 meetings between the two, most recent first.