Peterborough
vs
Oxford United
League One postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 23% Peterborough, 27% draw, 50% Oxford United — fair odds of 4.35, 3.70 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Peterborough 0.92, Oxford United 1.62.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 47%, under 2.5: 53%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
More League One predictions
Model insights: Peterborough vs Oxford United
Has the model earned this number?
Oxford United at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Peterborough vs Oxford United
Peterborough
League One
- L0-2Luton31 October 2026
- D1-1away to Bromley24 October 2026
- L1-4away to Huddersfield20 October 2026
- D2-2Burton Albion17 October 2026
- W3-1away to Leicester10 October 2026
Oxford United
League One
- W2-0Reading4 November 2026
- D1-1away to Barnsley31 October 2026
- W1-0Stockport County27 October 2026
- D0-0Bradford24 October 2026
- W2-1Wigan20 October 2026
What these results say
- Peterborough conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Peterborough failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Peterborough scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Oxford United went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Oxford United scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Oxford United had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Peterborough vs Oxford United
- 13 August 2024Oxford United 2–0 PeterboroughLeague Cup
- 8 May 2024Peterborough 1–1 Oxford UnitedLeague One
- 4 May 2024Oxford United 1–0 PeterboroughLeague One
- 13 April 2024Oxford United 5–0 PeterboroughLeague One
- 9 December 2023Peterborough 3–0 Oxford UnitedLeague One
- 1 April 2023Peterborough 0–0 Oxford UnitedLeague One
Leading scorers: Peterborough and Oxford United
Peterborough
No player in League One's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Oxford United
GoalsAssists
- M. Harris61
- G. O'Donkor42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Peterborough a 0% chance of the title and Oxford United 28.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Oxford United the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.92 expected goals for Peterborough against 1.62 for Oxford United. Peterborough's attack/defence rating is 0.48/2.05 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.25 for Oxford United.
How the model reaches 50% for Oxford United to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Oxford United to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Peterborough's ratings add 10 points and Oxford United's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 50%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Both sides at this match's level30%−1
- Peterborough's ratings40%+10
- Oxford United's ratings50%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.