Lincoln vs Blackburn Championship prediction & result
Final score: Lincoln 0-0 Blackburn.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Lincoln, 28% draw, 31% Blackburn — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Lincoln at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lincoln vs Blackburn
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1G. Wickens
- 25D. Elerewe
- 6R. Towler
- 20C. Elder
- 16D. Jefferies
- 8T. Bayliss
- 14C. McGrandles
- 3A. Reach
- 17R. Street
- 34F. Draper
- 7R. Hackett-Fairchild
- 46J. Gauci
- 4A. Coubis
- 23J. Honohan
- 24I. Varfolomeev
- 26Y. E. Konak
- 19T. Olaofe
- 11M. Ladefoged
- 29E. Wheatley
- 10M. Melia
- 1A. Pears
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 6T. Atcheson
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 4Y. Ribeiro
- 8S. Morsy
- 31K. Montgomery
- 25R. Morishita
- 10T. Cantwell
- 21O. Afolayan
- 9A. Gudjohnsen
- 37F. Goddard
- 39H. Pates
- 47L. Houghton
- 46M. Decandia
- 28A. Forshaw
- 30J. Garrett
- 36J. Edmondson
- 53F. Vare
- 11J. Fevrier
Form going into Lincoln vs Blackburn
Lincoln
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Bolton29 August 2026
- L1-3Portsmouth22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Middlesbrough15 August 2026
Blackburn
All competitions we cover
- L1-2QPR29 August 2026
- W2-1Middlesbrough22 August 2026
- D2-2away to Wolves14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lincoln | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lincoln vs Blackburn
- 23 July 2022Lincoln 0–1 BlackburnFriendlies Clubs
- 28 August 2018Blackburn 4–1 LincolnLeague Cup
Leading scorers: Lincoln and Blackburn
Lincoln
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.
Blackburn
GoalsAssists
- A. Guðjohnsen101
- O. Afolayan52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Lincoln and Blackburn drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Lincoln at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: T. Atcheson (Blackburn) 69'. On expected goals it finished 1.46–0.24.