1 September 2026, 18:45 UTC

Lincoln vs Blackburn Championship prediction & result

LNER stadium, Lincoln
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Lincoln 0-0 Blackburn.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Lincoln, 28% draw, 31% Blackburn — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lincoln at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lincoln6%Draw91%Blackburn3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
T. Atcheson
🔁T. Baylissout: I. Varfolomeev
61'
🔁F. Draperout: T. Olaofe
61'
67'
🔁K. Montgomeryout: A. Forshaw
68'
🔁O. Afolayanout: J. Fevrier
69'
T. Atcheson
69'
T. Atcheson
🔁R. Streetout: M. Ladefoged
77'
79'
🔁T. Cantwellout: J. Garrett
85'
J. Garrett
🔁D. Jefferiesout: A. Coubis
87'
🔁R. Hackett-Fairchildout: M. Melia
87'
C. McGrandles
90+4'
90+5'
A. Forshaw
90+1'
🔁R. Alebiosuout: L. Houghton

Match stats — Lincoln vs Blackburn

40%Possession60%
18Shots8
1On target2
5Corners7
1.46xG0.24

Goals against chances

Lincoln0 from 1.46 xGless than the chances were worth
Blackburn0 from 0.24 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Lincoln
  • 1G. Wickens
  • 25D. Elerewe
  • 6R. Towler
  • 20C. Elder
  • 16D. Jefferies
  • 8T. Bayliss
  • 14C. McGrandles
  • 3A. Reach
  • 17R. Street
  • 34F. Draper
  • 7R. Hackett-Fairchild
Substitutes
  • 46J. Gauci
  • 4A. Coubis
  • 23J. Honohan
  • 24I. Varfolomeev
  • 26Y. E. Konak
  • 19T. Olaofe
  • 11M. Ladefoged
  • 29E. Wheatley
  • 10M. Melia
Coach: Tom Shaw
Blackburn
  • 1A. Pears
  • 2R. Alebiosu
  • 6T. Atcheson
  • 15S. McLoughlin
  • 4Y. Ribeiro
  • 8S. Morsy
  • 31K. Montgomery
  • 25R. Morishita
  • 10T. Cantwell
  • 21O. Afolayan
  • 9A. Gudjohnsen
Substitutes
  • 37F. Goddard
  • 39H. Pates
  • 47L. Houghton
  • 46M. Decandia
  • 28A. Forshaw
  • 30J. Garrett
  • 36J. Edmondson
  • 53F. Vare
  • 11J. Fevrier
Coach: Tony Mowbray

Form going into Lincoln vs Blackburn

Lincoln

  • W1-0away to Bolton29 August 2026

Blackburn

  • L1-2QPR29 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Lincoln732266011
16Blackburn7223101008

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lincoln vs Blackburn

  • 1 September 2026Lincoln 0–0 BlackburnChampionship
  • 23 July 2022Lincoln 0–1 BlackburnFriendlies Clubs
  • 28 August 2018Blackburn 4–1 LincolnLeague Cup

Leading scorers: Lincoln and Blackburn

Lincoln

No player in Championship's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Blackburn

  • A. Guðjohnsen3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.