Morton vs Ayr Utd Championship postponed match
This fixture has been postponed and is not being played on this date. A replayed tie is listed by our data provider as a new fixture, with its own page, so the call below has no result to be judged against.
Before the match was called off the model made it 38% Morton, 27% draw, 35% Ayr Utd — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Morton at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Morton vs Ayr Utd
Morton
Championship
- W2-0Queen's Park17 October 2026
- W2-1away to Arbroath10 October 2026
Ayr Utd
Championship
- L0-1Partick16 October 2026
- D1-1Dunfermline10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Scotland Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Morton | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Morton vs Ayr Utd
- 29 August 2026Ayr Utd 1–1 MortonChampionship
- 21 March 2026Ayr Utd 0–1 MortonChampionship
- 27 December 2025Morton 1–1 Ayr UtdChampionship
- 18 October 2025Ayr Utd 2–1 MortonChampionship
- 23 August 2025Morton 2–2 Ayr UtdChampionship
How the call on Morton v Ayr Utd has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 34% / 27% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 38% / 27% / 35%: the biggest move is Morton's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Morton win38%▲ +4
- Draw27%=
- Ayr Utd win35%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.