4 November 2026, 20:00 UTC

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Eden Arena, Prague
Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Slavia Praha 1-2 Arsenal.

Before kick-off the model made it 13% Slavia Praha, 23% draw, 64% Arsenal — fair odds of 7.69, 4.35 and 1.56.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Arsenal at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Slavia Praha0%Draw1%Arsenal99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽Noni Maduekeassist: Viktor Gyökeres
David Moses
20'
38'
⚽Viktor Gyökeresassist: Mikel Merino
🔁Danijel Sturmout: Ange N'Guessan
45'
🔁Mubarak Suleimanout: Mojmír Chytil
45'
53'
Ezri Konsa
🔁Tomáš Vlčekout: Mikulas Konecny
61'
62'
🔁Ezri Konsa out: Cristhian Mosquera
62'
🔁Eberechi Ezeout: Christos Tzolis
68'
Declan Rice
🔁Emmanuel Ayaosiout: David Jurasek
71'
78'
🔁Ben Whiteout: Jurriën Timber
78'
🔁Viktor Gyökeresout: Martin Odegaard
🔁David Mosesout: Stepan Chaloupek
81'
⚽Wiktor Nowakassist: David Jurasek
90'
90+3'
🔁Noni Maduekeout: Max Dowman

Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Arsenal

44%Possession56%
18Shots12
6On target5
4Corners2
2.31xG1.55

Goals against chances

Slavia Praha1 from 2.31 xGless than the chances were worth
Arsenal2 from 1.55 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slavia Praha 4-2-3-1
  • 29N. DomchakG
  • 27T. VlčekD
  • 3T. HolešD
  • 4D. ZimaD
  • 8O. KubiakD
  • 16D. MosesM
  • 23M. SadílekM
  • 20E. AyaosiM
  • 15M. E. SuleimanM
  • 10D. ŠturmM
  • 30W. NowakF
Substitutes
  • 47D. BarcotD
  • 13M. ChytilF
  • 22T. DiakitéM
  • 39D. JurásekD
  • 32Pavel KacorM
  • 42M. KonečnýD
  • 53Matěj KotrbaF
  • 35J. MarkovičG
  • 6A. N'GuessanD
Coach: J. Trpišovský
Arsenal 4-2-3-1
  • 1David RayaG
  • 4B. WhiteD
  • 15E. KonsaD
  • 6Gabriel MagalhãesD
  • 5P. HincapiéD
  • 36Martín ZubimendiM
  • 41D. RiceM
  • 20N. MaduekeM
  • 23Mikel MerinoM
  • 10E. EzeM
  • 14V. GyökeresF
Substitutes
  • 17C. TzolisF
  • 39Bruno GuimarãesM
  • 12J. TimberD
  • 2W. SalibaD
  • 8M. ØdegaardM
  • 3Cristhian MosqueraD
  • 30I. MeslierG
  • 49M. Lewis-SkellyD
  • 29K. HavertzF
Coach: Mikel Arteta

Form going into Slavia Praha vs Arsenal

Slavia Praha

UEFA Champions League

  • D2-2away to Fenerbahçe20 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Sabah FA13 October 2026
  • L2-3Lens10 September 2026

Arsenal

UEFA Champions League

  • D2-2away to Bayern München21 October 2026
  • W3-0Lille13 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Napoli9 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
34Slavia Praha401359-41
3Arsenal431083+510

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Arsenal

  • 4 November 2025Slavia Praha 0–3 ArsenalUEFA Champions League
  • 15 April 2021Slavia Praha 0–4 ArsenalUEFA Europa League
  • 8 April 2021Arsenal 1–1 Slavia PrahaUEFA Europa League

The result against the call

Arsenal won 2–1 at Slavia Praha. The model had made a win for Arsenal its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Noni Madueke 9' for Arsenal, Viktor Gyökeres 38' for Arsenal, Wiktor Nowak 90' for Slavia Praha. On expected goals it finished 2.31–1.55.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.