Atletico Mineiro sit 7th in the Serie A on 39 points from 26 matches, having scored 35 and conceded 31. The model rates their attack at 0.88× the league average and their defence at 1.13× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently beating Fluminense 3-1 at home. That is 1.50 points a match, scoring 1.35 and conceding 1.19 per game across 11 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats. That leaves them 18 points behind Flamengo at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 9th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they host Chapecoense in the Serie A on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 44%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53 | 22 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 31 | +4 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | +1 | 33 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 17 |
Atletico Mineiro sit 7 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W3-1Fluminense12 September 2026
- L0-2away to Sao Paulo5 September 2026
- W2-1Vitoria29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Internacional22 August 2026
- W3-0Gremio16 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Atletico Mineiro vs Chapecoense
Atletico Mineiro host Chapecoense at MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte on 19 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 44% Atletico Mineiro, 28% draw and 28% Chapecoense, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.73 expected goals for Atletico Mineiro against 1.17. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Full preview and model analysis for Atletico Mineiro vs Chapecoense
Recent meetings with Chapecoense
- 2 April 2026Chapecoense 0–4 Atletico MineiroSerie A
- 6 October 2021Chapecoense 2–2 Atletico MineiroSerie A
- 21 June 2021Atletico Mineiro 1–1 ChapecoenseSerie A
- 30 October 2019Atletico Mineiro 0–2 ChapecoenseSerie A
- 14 July 2019Chapecoense 1–2 Atletico MineiroSerie A
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.