Estoril sit 17th in the Primeira Liga on 2 points from 6 matches, having scored 2 and conceded 8. The model rates their attack at 0.72× the league average and their defence at 1.05× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 draw and 4 defeats, most recently losing to SC Braga 0-1 away. That is 0.33 points a match, scoring 0.33 and conceding 1.33 per game across 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 16 points behind FC Porto at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 18th-best attack and the 11th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they host Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 39%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | SC Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | GIL Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Maritimo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 |
Estoril sit 17 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1away to SC Braga14 September 2026
- D0-0Arouca7 September 2026
- L1-2away to Benfica31 August 2026
- L0-2Rio Ave22 August 2026
- L0-2away to Nacional16 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Estoril vs Casa Pia
Estoril host Casa Pia at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril on 20 September 2026, 17:00 UTC. The model makes it 39% Estoril, 32% draw and 29% Casa Pia, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.25 expected goals for Estoril against 0.92. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Full preview and model analysis for Estoril vs Casa Pia
Recent meetings with Casa Pia
- 7 March 2026Estoril 0–0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- 3 October 2025Casa Pia 2–2 EstorilPrimeira Liga
- 29 April 2025Casa Pia 1–3 EstorilPrimeira Liga
- 15 December 2024Estoril 0–2 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
- 8 April 2024Casa Pia 0–0 EstorilPrimeira Liga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.