Nacional sit 15th in the Primeira Liga on 4 points from 6 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 11. The model rates their attack at 0.85× the league average and their defence at 1.28× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win and 4 defeats, most recently losing to Alverca 1-3 at home. That is 0.67 points a match, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.83 per game across 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats. That leaves them 14 points behind FC Porto at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 12th-best attack and the 15th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they host Famalicao in the Primeira Liga on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 38%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | SC Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | GIL Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Maritimo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 1 |
Nacional sit 15 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-3Alverca12 September 2026
- L0-2away to Sporting CP5 September 2026
- L2-3Estrela30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Vitória SC23 August 2026
- W2-0Estoril16 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Nacional vs Famalicao
Nacional host Famalicao at Funchal on 19 September 2026, 14:30 UTC. The model makes it 38% Nacional, 29% draw and 33% Famalicao, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.55 expected goals for Nacional against 1.37. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Full preview and model analysis for Nacional vs Famalicao
Recent meetings with Famalicao
- 21 March 2026Famalicao 1–0 NacionalPrimeira Liga
- 1 November 2025Nacional 0–1 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
- 1 March 2025Nacional 2–1 FamalicaoPrimeira Liga
- 29 September 2024Famalicao 0–0 NacionalPrimeira Liga
- 16 May 2021Famalicao 3–0 NacionalPrimeira Liga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.