Napoli sit 27th in the UEFA Champions League on 0 points from 1 match, having scored 0 and conceded 1. The model rates their attack at 1.09× the league average and their defence at 0.75× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Their only league match so far ended in a defeat, losing to Arsenal 0-1 at home. That leaves them 3 points behind Paris Saint Germain at the top, in a table of 36. Among the 33 rated sides in the division that is the 22nd-best attack and the 3rd-best defence. Next they travel to Fiorentina in the Serie A on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Napoli sit 27 of 36, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1Arsenal9 September 2026
Last 1 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Napoli vs Fiorentina
Napoli travel to Fiorentina at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence on 20 September 2026, 10:30 UTC. The model makes it 35% Napoli, 30% draw and 35% Fiorentina, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.21 expected goals for Napoli against 1.21. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Full preview and model analysis for Napoli vs Fiorentina
Recent meetings with Fiorentina
- 31 January 2026Napoli 2–1 FiorentinaSerie A
- 13 September 2025Fiorentina 1–3 NapoliSerie A
- 9 March 2025Napoli 2–1 FiorentinaSerie A
- 4 January 2025Fiorentina 0–3 NapoliSerie A
- 17 May 2024Fiorentina 2–2 NapoliSerie A
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.