Toulouse sit 17th in the Ligue 1 on 2 points from 4 matches, having scored 4 and conceded 7. The model rates their attack at 0.94× the league average and their defence at 0.99× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Across their last 4 league matches they have 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Lorient 2-2 away. That is 0.50 points a match, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.75 per game across 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 8 points behind Lille at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 8th-best defence. They scored in 2 of those 4 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 43%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 8 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Lens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Estac Troyes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
Toulouse sit 17 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2away to Lorient12 September 2026
- L0-1Lille3 September 2026
- D2-2away to Stade Brestois 2929 August 2026
- L0-2Lyon22 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Toulouse vs Le Havre
Toulouse host Le Havre at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse on 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 43% Toulouse, 30% draw and 27% Le Havre, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.50 expected goals for Toulouse against 0.97. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Full preview and model analysis for Toulouse vs Le Havre
Recent meetings with Le Havre
- 15 February 2026Le Havre 2–1 ToulouseLigue 1
- 2 November 2025Toulouse 0–0 Le HavreLigue 1
- 23 February 2025Le Havre 1–4 ToulouseLigue 1
- 15 September 2024Toulouse 2–0 Le HavreLigue 1
- 10 March 2024Le Havre 1–0 ToulouseLigue 1
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.