Tottenham sit 17th in the Premier League on 2 points from 4 matches, having scored 0 and conceded 5. The model rates their attack at 0.82× the league average and their defence at 0.75× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — hard to break down, short of goals. Across their last 4 league matches they have 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Everton 0-0 at home. That is 0.50 points a match, scoring 0.00 and conceding 1.25 per game across 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 10 points behind Arsenal at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 20th-best attack and the 3rd-best defence. They scored in 1 of those 4 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
Tottenham sit 17 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D0-0Everton12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Nottingham Forest5 September 2026
- L0-2Newcastle29 August 2026
- L0-3away to Brentford22 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Tottenham vs Aston Villa
Tottenham host Aston Villa at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London on 19 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. The model makes it 35% Tottenham, 32% draw and 33% Aston Villa, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.15 expected goals for Tottenham against 1.08. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Full preview and model analysis for Tottenham vs Aston Villa
Recent meetings with Aston Villa
- 3 May 2026Aston Villa 1–2 TottenhamPremier League
- 10 January 2026Tottenham 1–2 Aston VillaFA Cup
- 19 October 2025Tottenham 1–2 Aston VillaPremier League
- 16 May 2025Aston Villa 2–0 TottenhamPremier League
- 9 February 2025Aston Villa 2–1 TottenhamFA Cup
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.