De Graafschap sit 16th in the Eerste Divisie on 15 points from 14 matches, having scored 18 and conceded 29. On the model's scale they rate 0.54 in attack and 1.77 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Eerste Divisie averages of 0.59 and 1.75: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently losing to FC OSS 1-2 at home. That is 1.07 points a match, scoring 1.29 and conceding 2.07 per game across 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats. That leaves them 23 points behind Heracles at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 11th-best attack and the 10th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they travel to Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie on 8 November 2026, a match the model gives them 25%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 46:16 | +30 | WDWWW | 38 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 36:15 | +21 | LLWWW | 31 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 38:24 | +14 | DWWDL | 29 |
| 4 | NAC Breda | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29:22 | +7 | WDWDW | 28 |
| 5 | Roda | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | +3 | WWWLW | 28 |
| 6 | Emmen | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 28:30 | -2 | WWLLL | 25 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 34:27 | +7 | DWLWL | 22 |
| 8 | MVV | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:29 | -10 | LLDLW | 20 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 27:20 | +7 | DDLDW | 20 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24:26 | -2 | WDWDL | 19 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | DLWLD | 18 |
| 12 | Jong AZ | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 33:31 | +2 | LDWLL | 17 |
| 13 | Jong PSV U21 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | DLWLD | 17 |
| 14 | FC OSS | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | LDLDW | 17 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22:30 | -8 | LWDDW | 16 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:29 | -11 | WLDWL | 15 |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | LLLLW | 14 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | LLWLL | 12 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 19:36 | -17 | WLLDL | 12 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 23:34 | -11 | LLLWD | 11 |
- Promotion to Eredivisie
De Graafschap sit 16 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-2FC OSS14 November 2026
- W2-1away to FC Volendam30 October 2026
- D1-1Waalwijk23 October 2026
- L1-2away to Jong Ajax19 October 2026
- W2-1Jong Utrecht9 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: De Graafschap vs Vitesse
De Graafschap travel to Vitesse at GelreDome, Arnhem on 8 November 2026, 11:15 UTC. The model makes it 25% De Graafschap, 29% draw and 46% Vitesse, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0.
Full preview and model analysis for De Graafschap vs Vitesse
Recent meetings with Vitesse
- 8 March 2026De Graafschap 1–4 VitesseEerste Divisie
- 4 December 2025Vitesse 1–2 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
- 16 February 2025Vitesse 2–0 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
- 29 September 2024De Graafschap 3–1 VitesseEerste Divisie
- 29 October 2019Vitesse 2–0 De GraafschapKNVB Beker
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to De Graafschap
-
Jong Ajax v Heracles · 27 November 2026
De Graafschap fans want a draw: that leaves De Graafschap's chance of a top-eight finish at 13.0%, against 9.5% if Jong Ajax win (11.9% today).
Jong Ajax win9.5%−2.4Draw13.0%+1.1Heracles win12.0%+0.1 -
Vitesse v Jong AZ · 20 November 2026
De Graafschap fans want Jong AZ to win: that leaves De Graafschap's risk of a bottom-three finish at 17.3%, against 20.6% after a draw (18.6% today).
Vitesse win18.0%−0.6Draw20.6%+2.0Jong AZ win17.3%−1.3 -
Almere City FC v NAC Breda · 20 November 2026
De Graafschap fans want a draw: that leaves De Graafschap's risk of a bottom-three finish at 10.8%, against 14.0% if Almere City FC win (13.1% today).
Almere City FC win14.0%+0.9Draw10.8%−2.3NAC Breda win12.2%−0.9
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves De Graafschap's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.
