Weekend preview, 7-8 November: Slavia Praha the surest call of 440 matches
Our model has a prediction for 440 matches this weekend (7-8 November), across 68 competitions. It is surest about Slavia Praha: 82% to beat Artis, most likely 3-0. 40 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome.
The biggest matches
- Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona (La Liga, Sunday 20:00 UTC): 39% / 26% / 35%, most likely 2-1.
- Manchester United vs Aston Villa (Premier League (England), Sunday 16:30 UTC): 40% / 25% / 35%, most likely 2-1.
- Inter vs Como (Serie A, Sunday 17:00 UTC): 43% / 27% / 30%, most likely 2-1.
- Brighton vs Brentford (Premier League (England), Sunday 14:00 UTC): 51% / 25% / 24%, most likely 2-1.
- Ipswich vs Bournemouth (Premier League (England), Sunday 14:00 UTC): 33% / 24% / 43%, most likely 1-2.
The surest calls
- Slavia Praha vs Artis (Czech Liga): Slavia Praha at 82%, most likely 3-0.
- Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1 (France)): Paris Saint Germain at 81%, most likely 3-0.
- Celtic vs Kilmarnock (Premiership): Celtic at 79%, most likely 3-0.
- Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin (Super Liga (Slovakia)): Slovan Bratislava at 76%, most likely 2-0.
- Sabah FA vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa): Sabah FA at 74%, most likely 2-0.
For scale: calls the model rated at 70% or more have landed 68% of the time, across 290 settled predictions. Sure is not certain.
The coin flips
Home and away within three points of each other. The model still names a pick, but the draw is live.
- Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): 39% / 25% / 36%.
- Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles (Eredivisie): 38% / 24% / 38%.
- KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League): 39% / 25% / 36%.
- Bristol City vs Norwich (Championship (England)): 35% / 28% / 37%.
- Wrexham vs Wolves (Championship (England)): 35% / 28% / 37%.
And 35 more, each marked "Tight game" on its match page.
How to read these
The three numbers are the model's chances of a home win, a draw and an away win. Every match has its own page with the full breakdown, and the fixtures page lists the whole weekend. How the probabilities are made is in the methodology; how often they have been right, in the track record. Statistical estimates, not betting advice.