Chelsea sit 6th in the Premier League on 7 points from 4 matches, having scored 10 and conceded 9. The model rates their attack at 1.38× the league average and their defence at 1.27× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — a side the model sees as dangerous going forward and vulnerable at the back. Across their last 4 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently drawing with Hull City 2-2 at home. That is 1.75 points a match, scoring 2.50 and conceding 2.25 per game across 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. That leaves them 5 points behind Arsenal at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 20th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 4 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they travel to Brentford in the Premier League on 18 September 2026, a match the model gives them 25%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
Chelsea sit 6 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D2-2Hull City12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Arsenal6 September 2026
- W4-3Brighton30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Fulham24 August 2026
Last 4 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Chelsea vs Brentford
Chelsea travel to Brentford at Brentford Community Stadium, London on 18 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 25% Chelsea, 24% draw and 51% Brentford, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.58 expected goals for Chelsea against 2.77. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
Full preview and model analysis for Chelsea vs Brentford
Recent meetings with Brentford
- 17 January 2026Chelsea 2–0 BrentfordPremier League
- 13 September 2025Brentford 2–2 ChelseaPremier League
- 6 April 2025Brentford 0–0 ChelseaPremier League
- 15 December 2024Chelsea 2–1 BrentfordPremier League
- 2 March 2024Brentford 2–2 ChelseaPremier League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- João Pedro3 goals3 assists
- M. Rogers3 goals1 assists
- C. Palmer2 goals2 assists
League goals this season.