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Match preview · 5 November 2026 · Premier League (England)

Leeds vs Tottenham: Leeds favoured at 41%

Our model leans to Leeds here, but not by much: 41% (fair odds 2.44) against 30% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 5 November 2026 · Premier League (England)

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City: Manchester City favoured at 55%

Our model leans to Manchester City here, but not by much: 55% (fair odds 1.82) against 25% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match review · 4 November 2026 · Primera División (Peru)

Alianza Lima 1–0 Cienciano: the model called the exact score

Alianza Lima 1–0 Cienciano finished with Alianza Lima winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 1-0, a scoreline it rated at 11%.

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Match review · 4 November 2026 · Serie A (Brazil)

Internacional 1–0 Coritiba: the model called the exact score

Internacional 1–0 Coritiba finished with Internacional winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 1-0, a scoreline it rated at 12%.

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Match review · 4 November 2026 · AFC Champions League Elite

Pohang Steelers 3–3 Gamba Osaka: how the model saw it

Pohang Steelers 3–3 Gamba Osaka finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Gamba Osaka at 38%, and rated the actual result at 27%.

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Match review · 4 November 2026 · UEFA Champions League

PSV Eindhoven 1–2 Club Brugge KV: how the model saw it

PSV Eindhoven 1–2 Club Brugge KV finished with Club Brugge KV winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to PSV Eindhoven at 43%, and rated the actual result at 33%.

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Match review · 4 November 2026 · UEFA Champions League

RB Leipzig 2–3 Manchester City: how the model saw it

RB Leipzig 2–3 Manchester City finished with Manchester City winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 42%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 2–3.

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Match preview · 4 November 2026 · Serie A (Brazil)

Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama: why the model makes it Atletico Paranaense at 54%

Our model leans to Atletico Paranaense here, but not by much: 54% (fair odds 1.85) against 24% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 4 November 2026 · Primera A

Cucuta vs Santa Fe: why the model makes it Santa Fe at 40%

Our model leans to Santa Fe here, but not by much: 40% (fair odds 2.50) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 4 November 2026 · Serie A (Brazil)

Flamengo vs Gremio: Flamengo favoured at 70%

Flamengo go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 70%, which is fair odds of 1.43. Our published scoreline is 2-0 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Gremio 11% to win outright.

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Match preview · 4 November 2026 · Premier League (England)

Everton vs Coventry: why the model makes it Everton at 46%

Our model leans to Everton here, but not by much: 46% (fair odds 2.17) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match preview · 4 November 2026 · Bundesliga (Germany)

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: the model can't split them

Hamburger SV host Borussia Mönchengladbach in a game our model cannot separate: 39% for the home side, 27% for the draw and 34% for the visitors.

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Match preview · 4 November 2026 · La Liga

Sevilla vs Alaves: why the model makes it Sevilla at 46%

Our model leans to Sevilla here, but not by much: 46% (fair odds 2.17) against 26% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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Match review · 3 November 2026 · Premier League (England)

Newcastle 0–1 Everton: model review

Newcastle 0–1 Everton finished with Everton winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Newcastle at 37%, and rated the actual result at 35%.

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Match review · 3 November 2026 · Serie A (Italy)

Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina: how the model saw it

Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina finished with Fiorentina winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 43%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 2–4.

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Match review · 3 November 2026 · UEFA Champions League

Atletico Madrid 0–2 Bayern München: how the model saw it

Atletico Madrid 0–2 Bayern München finished with Bayern München winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 41%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 0–2.

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Match review · 3 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Atletico Tucuman 1–2 Argentinos Juniors: model review

Atletico Tucuman 1–2 Argentinos Juniors finished with Argentinos Juniors winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 38%, though it expected 0-1 rather than 1–2.

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Match review · 3 November 2026 · UEFA Champions League

Barcelona 3–0 Aston Villa: model review

Barcelona 3–0 Aston Villa finished with Barcelona winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 53%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–0.

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Match review · 3 November 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina

Independiente Rivadavia 3–1 Banfield: how the model saw it

Independiente Rivadavia 3–1 Banfield finished with Independiente Rivadavia winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 50%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–1.

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Match preview · 3 November 2026 · Serie A (Brazil)

Chapecoense vs Mirassol: Mirassol favoured at 41%

Our model leans to Mirassol here, but not by much: 41% (fair odds 2.44) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.

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